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<br />CDM <br /> <br />Section 8 <br />Integrate Resources and Modify Forecasts <br /> <br />8.2 Identification of Proj ect-Specific Savings <br /> <br />The implementation of this Plan will not significantly affect future capital <br />expenditures associated with the development of groundwater supplies or surface <br />water supplies. Although water savings have been estimated to the best of accuracy <br />given the data available, there is not enough certainty in the data to support water <br />capacity design decisions. For instance, the estimates assume that a specified number <br />rebates are distributed every year. This number could vary pending on customer <br />behavior. Conservation monitoring data, discussed in Section 9.2 will provide further <br />insight into customer behavior and more accurate estimates of savings will be <br />possible in the future. <br /> <br />However, conservation savings could affect annual operating costs as well as the <br />amount of water rights purchased. Savings would reduce the amount of well <br />pumping, if the system if relying on groundwater. If surface water supplies are <br />acquired, conservation savings could reduce the amount of surface water needed, <br />reducing costs associated with pumping and storing the water. Substantial <br />conservation savings could also reduce the amount of water rights that need to be <br />purchased. Table 8-2 summarizes the potential cost savings is surface water supplies <br />were brought online. <br /> <br />Table 8-2 Changes to Project <br /> <br /> Project Costs <br /> Project Total <br /> capacity capital Annual operating <br />Item (daily) costs ($) costs ($) <br />CAPITAL PROJECT IS ELIMINATED <br />Original project n/a n/a n/a <br />Savings from elimination n/a n/a n/a <br />CAPITAL PROJECT IS DOWNSIZED <br />Original project n/a n/a Energy costs for <br /> pumping and <br /> maintenance <br />Downsized project n/a n/a Reduction in <br /> energy costs <br />Savings from downsizing n/a n/a Potential reduction <br />CAPITAL PROJECT IS POSTPONED <br />Present value of original project n/a n/a <br />Present value of postponed project n/a n/a <br />Savings from postponement n/a n/a <br />NEED FOR PURCHASED WATER IS REDUCED <br />Original estimate of purchases (AFY) 5.5 2,000 <br />Revised estimate of purchases (AFY) 5.5 --1 ,800 <br />Savings from reduced purchases (AFY) 5.5 --200 <br /> <br />8.3 Revised Supply-Capacity Forecast <br /> <br />As discussed in Section 8.2, conservation savings will not significantly affect future <br />capital expenditures and consequently will not affect future design supply-capacity of <br />a surface water supply system. <br /> <br />8-2 <br /> <br />O:\Castle_Pines_North\Conservation Plan\Drafts Submitted For Review\Final Conservation Plan.doc <br />