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Air <br />• <br />• <br />i <br />foreseeable significant adverse effects when <br />there is incomplete or unavailable information. <br />Based on the analysis above, the limited <br />contribution of CO2 equivalent (1.3 percent of <br />the emission in Colorado from fossil fuel <br />combustion annually for 12 years (not <br />considering the likely increase in statewide <br />emissions over that period) would not be <br />considered a significant effect on the human <br />environment. I~owever, the four factors that <br />must be disclosed are discussed below. <br />1) Information to evaluate the impacts of <br />this project on global warning is <br />incomplete or unavailable. There are no <br />models that can calculate the amount of <br />global warming (if any) that would occur <br />due to this alternative, nor is there <br />scientific research. that can be used to <br />estimate the effects. <br />2) It is unlikely that the incomplete and <br />unavailable information is relevant to <br />evaluating reasonably foreseeable <br />significant adverse impacts because the <br />impacts would likely not be significant as <br />stated above. <br />3) There is no credible scientific evidence <br />with which to evaluate the potential <br />impacts related to methane drainage <br />associated with this project. <br />To quote this section (40 CFR 1502.22(b) (4) <br />"For the purposes of this section, 'reasonably <br />foreseeable' includes impacts which have <br />catastrophic consequences, even if their <br />probability of occurrence is low, provided that <br />the analysis of the impacts is supported by <br />credible scientific evidence, is not based on <br />pure conjecture, and is within the rule of <br />reason." <br />Direct mitigation of the release of methane <br />through either flaring or capturing methane and <br />putting to beneficial use would be very <br />effective in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. <br />Flaring is not a method approved by NISHA. <br />Methane is a federal mineral subject to gas <br />lease terms and is not possible to put to <br />beneficial use at the time this document is <br />being prepared as the gas is not under lease. <br />See Alternatives Considered But Eliminated <br />F~°onz Detailed Study in Chapter 2 for further <br />discussion of these concepts. <br />Offset mitigation of the release of methane is <br />not reasonable. For example, to offset the COz <br />equivalent by carbon sequestering through tree <br />planting would require planting 1.7 million <br />trees over 6,000 acres of previously unforested <br />land. Or perhaps replacing 545,000 100-watt <br />light bulbs with 15-watt compact florescent <br />bulbs, or replacing 165,000 gas-powered sport <br />utility vehicle drivers with a hybrid vehicle. In <br />2002, there were 634,600 registered sport <br />utility vehicles in Colorado, one for every 5 <br />licensed drivers (US Census Bureau 2002).. <br />Class 1 Airshed <br />The Class 1 airshed (West Elk Wilderness) is <br />10 miles from the project area and there would <br />be no effects on the Class 1 airshed from <br />proposed activities. <br />Alternative 3 <br />Gas quantity released may be slightly less (an <br />estimate of perhaps 15% less than Proposed <br />Action based on tons of coal that may not be <br />mined) due to the shortened panels and fewer <br />MDWs or relatively equal if venting is <br />occurring in some other manner such as re- <br />establishing ahorizontal system and continued <br />use of main mine fan if technological advances <br />(which may not result in any additional FS <br />concurrence or NEPA) to sufficiently to permit <br />optimal venting without vertical vent holes <br />(MDWs) in those areas. However, the effects <br />would be the same as Alternative 2 with regard <br />to not exceeding any current air quality <br />standards and would increase potential <br />greenhouse gas emissions in Colorado from. <br />fossil fuel combustion by approximately 1.1 <br />percent (calculated as CO2 equivalent). <br />Deer Creek Ventilation Shaft and E Seam Methane Drainage Wells FEIS <br />61 <br />