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<br /> <br />o <br />c':') <br />t.~ <br />CJt <br />(,C <br /> <br />Large deviations from trend should be <br />examined carefully to determine <br />whether a reasonable explanation might <br />justify its existence. Examples of <br />these are the charts on Graph UB-5 <br />which represent consumptive uses by <br />agricultural irrigation for various <br />regions in the upper basin (see Figure <br />2). In all charts, the values for <br />1977 are substantially lower than for <br />other years. An explanation for this <br />may be the drought conditions that <br />existed in 1977 (ie. the virgin flow <br />for 1977 was only 5.8 million acre- <br />feet, one of the driest years on <br />record). Therefore, the trend of <br />these values on these charts seems to <br />be reasonable or at least explainable. <br /> <br />Some patterns are much more difficult <br />to explain. Consider for example, <br />Graph UB-7 and the chart on stockpond <br />evaporation in the San Juan Basin in <br />Arizona (Figure 3). For the first 10 <br />years (first two Uses and Losses <br />Reports) , the consumpti ve uses <br />averaged about 1,000 acre-feet per <br />year. In the last five years (current <br />Uses and. Losses Reports), the <br />consumptive uses jumped to 3,500 acre- <br />feet. It is possible that much better <br />information became available during <br />preparation of the last consumptive <br />Uses' and Losses Report, but such <br />deviations should be examined <br />critically. <br /> <br />AGRICULTURAL - IRRIGATION <br />UTAH - Upper Main <br /> <br />{l,OOO Acra.FaetJ <br />16r-- <br /> <br />J _. .11 <br />BIi;;lil III. .1. <br />:.11111- .11111111 <br />~IIIII_IIIIIIIII <br />u <br />71 72 73 74 76 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 as 84 86 <br />Water Year <br /> <br />Figure 2 <br /> <br />AGRICULTURAL - STOCKPOND EVAPORATION <br />ARIZONA - San Juan <br /> <br />(1,000 Acre-Feet) <br />4 <br /> <br />3.5- <br /> <br /> <br />3- <br />2.5~ <br /> <br />2- <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />71 72 73 74 715 76 n 78 79 80 81 82 8S 8<4 86 <br />....Vater Yeai <br /> <br />Figure 3 <br /> <br />3 <br />