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<br />~ <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />census data and other secondary data against a projected <br /> <br />O~r~cast. it becomes possible to determine the likelihood <br />that a particular forecast could happen and what the magnitude <br />of the impact will be. For example, a resident may feel that <br />under a particular situation hundreds of persons will lose their <br />jobs, and that is a perfectly valid attitude -- perhaps repre- <br />sentative of feelings of others. But is is important to know <br />from objective data sources just how many people could lose <br />their jobs; if only thirty people were employed in the area <br />in question, the residents' estimate could not possibly corne <br />true. To summarize, the interview strategy selected was one <br />designed to gain the maximum amount of relevant information <br />on the range and likelihood of social impacts occurring (aug- <br />mented with secondary data) and not to obtain a probahilistic <br />sample of residents' forecasts. <br /> <br />33 <br />