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<br />y ~ <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />003348 <br /> <br />What are the Results of the Program? <br /> <br />A technical assessment of the program- is in progress. It will be <br /> <br />several months before the required upper air, precipitation and streamflow <br /> <br />data will be available for the completion of the assessment of this <br />winter's program. While this assessment should provide guidelines on the <br /> <br /> <br />effectiveness of this cloud seeding application effort, it will probably <br /> <br /> <br />take a number of seasons to increasingly delineate the actual effectiveness <br /> <br /> <br />of such operational programs as distinct from assuming that the results are <br /> <br />the same as those suggested by research programs. The program this winter <br /> <br />assumes that the results will be comparable to those indicated by previous <br /> <br />research programs in the state. These research programs indicated a <br /> <br />10-20% overall increase in snowpack but with the increases coming only <br /> <br /> <br />on a portion of the days that meet specific seedability criteria. Only <br /> <br /> <br />these periods satisfying the criteria are being seeded in the present <br /> <br /> <br />program. The previous research indicated that other periods are not <br /> <br />suitable for cloud seeding to produce precipitation. If the effects of <br /> <br /> <br />the seeding this winter are comparable to those originally indicated by <br /> <br /> <br />the research experiments, the increases in snowpack from this winter's <br /> <br /> <br />program could be substantial. There has been a high frequency of eastward <br /> <br />moving weather systems that have brought upper level (mountain top level) <br /> <br />Pacific moisture into the state, and the meteorological conditions during <br /> <br /> <br />many of the episodes have met previously defined favorable seedability <br /> <br /> <br />criteria. Cloud seeding, consequently, should have been effective more <br /> <br /> <br />frequently than is the case in a normal winter. <br /> <br />3 <br />