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<br />. <br /> <br />Adjustments will be made to the model with the objective of improving agreement betWeen the Phase <br />III historical scenario and gaged data. The comparison between Phase IIIa historical output and Phase <br />II historical output provides perspective on how well modeled and observed data can be expected to <br />match: if the Phase IIIa changes do not significantly alter Phase II calibrated results, the Phase IIIa <br />model is deemed acceptable, When the model has been calibrated, the Phase IIIa calculated demand <br />scenario will be compared to gaged data and the differences will be documented. <br /> <br />~PP~~0:; linplel;l~nt the eni;~~eme~t~~d~~t~fied ;dmutua~Y-'a,~reed UP2~ ig Task 3,13~ <br />2, Boyle: For both the historical and calculated'dati, execute StatcMod in the check mode. Review <br />the check table output C*xtb) for anomalies (loosing hydrology reaches, reasonable return patterns, <br />etc,) <br />3. Boyle: For both the historical and calculated data, execute StatcMod in the report mode for stream <br />and diversion comparison, Review the stream comparison outQut C*xsc) for ability to reproduce <br />gaged streanlflows, and the diversion comparison output C*xdc) for ability to reproduce historic <br />iiversions,~ I' '" I. P' I~....~ouk] A /.4- <br />4. Boyle: For both the historical and calculated data, execute StatcMod in the report mode for <br />reservoir comparison. Review the reservoir comparison output C* .xrc) for ability to reproduce <br />reservoir end-of-m~nth records. C_ , _._ r I II BUltS, <br />. , <br />5, Boyle: For both the historical and calculated data, execute StatcMod in the report mode for <br />diversion shortages. Review the diversion shortage output C* .xsh) fpr ability to reproduce gaged <br />diversions, Compare to Phase II results. <br />6, Boyle: For both the historical and calculated data, generate plots for the structures presented in the <br />Phase II report usin the tern latesdeve19ped in Task 3.13. <br />. oy e:' eet with the'State ana brief them on the histonc yamp -, ca 1 ra Ion 'reSUlts. I-hls <br />- . <br />meeting will be a ~half-day work session during which the State can examine results. If the <br />calibration is determined to be satisfactory, review the calculated CyampaC) calibration results. If / <br />the State determines the calibration is unsatisfactory, no 'additional activities will be performed <br />which are beyond the anlount budgeted in this Task unless mutually agreed upon as a contingency <br />activity. <br />Boyle: Produce ~s for the structures presented in the Phase II report, Note this includes, <br />graphs for both the historic and calculated data sets, <br />Boyle: Prepare Task Memorandum 3.14 documenting the calibration nr~cess and results in a <br />format similar to that prepared for the White River Basin (November 19, 1996). The memorandum <br />will generally describe the differences between the initial model run and the final run, It will not <br />log every interim run or trace the exact procedures followed, The plots created in Task 3,14 will be <br />included or referenced by filename in the Task Memoramtum, The State will review a draft of the <br />memo and provide written comments within two weeks of receiving the draft, Boyle will finalize <br />/-;) the memo within two weeks of receiving the State's comments, <br />&' 10, Boyle: As appropriate, revise Task Memorandum developed previously to reflect enhancements <br />associated with the calibration. <br /> <br />.' <br /> <br />-?7 8, <br />?9, <br /> <br />'. Deliverables: <br />1, Boyle: Calibration adjustments to StateMod input files, <br />2, Boyle: Interim graphs and tables to be presented at the midpoint briefing session, <br /> <br />Phase IlIa Scope of Services <br /> <br />11~Q;1, 1997 <br /> <br />A.34 <br /> <br />\ <br />, <br /> <br /> <br />,;}f <br />}/ <br /> <br /> <br />!' <br />~_. <br /> <br />2- <br /> <br />fj, <br />../ <br />1 :it> <br />c;~ <br />