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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />late 1970's. The City of Thornton recently purchased Water Supply <br />and Storage water rights for approximately $1000 per acre-foot. <br /> <br />North Poudre water is currently selling for $3,400 to $3,800 <br />per share. For the years 1957 through 1988 the cost of water <br />ranged from $75 per share to over $10,000 per share which relates <br />to a cost of $11.50 to $2,128 per acre-foot. The attached Figure <br />VII-1 shows the cost of water per share and the cost per acre-foot <br />for the years 1957 to 1988. <br /> <br />Based on this data, we have chose a value of $1000 per acre- <br />feet as being a reasonable and justified value to use for an <br />economic analysis. This value is higher than the cost of water <br />at the present time in Northern Colorado but is not as high as we <br />have seen in the past. With the completion of the Windy Gap <br />Project, the purchase of water by the city of Thornton and the <br />introduction of a high water use industry such as Anheuser-Busch, <br />the water picture in Northern Colorado is really in a state of <br />flux. What the trend will be in the future due to these influen- <br />ces can only be guessed at. However, the price of water is <br />currently rising and we would expect the price of water during the <br />life of this project to be much higher than the $1000 per acre- <br />feet used in the analysis. <br /> <br />Another way the value of the water was evaluated was to <br />determine the value of the crop produced by irrigation versus a <br />dry land crop. Figure VII-1 shows the estimated production on the <br />land served by Reservoir No.2. The analysis was based on an <br />estimate of the number of acres of each type of crop grown in the <br />area served by No.2 and applying the yield and price data from the <br />Colorado Agricultural Statistics for 1987 for Larimer County. <br />This analysis is for a general comparison and is not used to <br />provide a direct value of water as is the comparison with the <br />market value of water above. Also, the loss of Reservoir No.2 <br />would not necessarily mean the loss of irrigation on this land as <br />the 3400 acres below No.2 could be irrigated from Reservoir No.15. <br />The evaluation does however quantify the large increase in the <br />economic base of agriculture with irrigation and shows the <br />importance of maintaining the ability to provide irrigation water <br />to Larimer County. <br /> <br />B. Financial Evaluation. <br />A cost analysis in comparison with the value of water was <br />conducted for the three alternatives proposed. The following <br />analysis is based on 1988 dollars and no projections for the <br />change in the value of the dollar or increases in costs or <br />interest rates are predicted. The total project costs used in the <br />evaluation include the interest that will be paid on the CWCB loan <br />and also include the cost of interest on the half that will be <br />paid by North Poudre at a 9% interest rate over 40 years. The 9% <br />loan is not anticipated by North Poudre but can be considered as <br />the loss of income from the money not being available. <br /> <br />VII-2 <br />