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<br />located in nonmountainous areas within about 60 miles of the study area. Al- <br />though there is considerable scatter about the regression line it must be remem- <br />bered that the observed Ql 0 0 for these stations is based on relativel y short <br />periods of record (8 to 26 years; average about 16 years) and is consequently <br />subject to considerable time-sampling error as previously discussed. The QIOO as <br />indicated by the observed flood-frequency relation was less than the regional <br />results for 11 of the 15 stations studied in this analysis. In general, then, <br />figure 6 indicates an unbiased relation, and also provides a limited test of equa- <br />tions 15 and 19 on additional basins in the study area and in adjoining States and <br />river basins. This type of test could not be performed on the other peak- <br />discharge relations or on the flood volume relation. <br /> <br />Based on the drainage areas sampled, the regression equations presented are <br />applicable to basins with effective drainage areas ranging in size from about <br />0.50 to 15.0 mi' that are in the plains region of the Arkansas River basin of <br />Colorado. However. figure 6, along with table 9, indicates these results also may <br />apply to basins as small as about 0.2 mi' or as large as about 30 mi', or located <br />near the study area but within adjoining States or river basins. It is emphasized <br />that the effective drainage area as used throughout this analysis excludes sub- <br />basins above detention reservoirs or other manmade structures within the basin <br />that would affect flood peaks. The effective drainage area must, therefore, be <br />carefully determined from map? or aerial photographs showing such features. <br /> <br />The data and analysis presented in this report have only dealt with rural <br />basins with natural-flow characteristics. Although the effects of urbanization are <br />not specifically addressed in this study, planners and designers are sometimes <br />required to estimate the flood characteristics of small basins that have some urban <br />development. Good agreement between the observed and estimated QIOO for the <br />six small urban basins is indicated in figure 6 and table 9. Although urbaniza- <br />tion within a basin generally results in larger peak discharges for a particular <br />recurrence interval, it would appear these effects are relatively minor for QIOO' <br />when effective impervious area is less than about 30 percent. Effective imper- <br />vious areas are impervious areas which are connected and do not drain to <br />pervious areas (Ellis and Alley, 1979). <br /> <br />This analysis has focused on the characteristics of flood flows resulting from <br />typical thunderstorm activity and the results may not apply to floods resulting <br />from frontal-type storms. The user is cautioned that the results and equations <br />discussed herein are preliminary and may be revised after analysis of new data. <br /> <br />SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS <br /> <br />A network of 17 stations provided an average of about 9 annual flood peaks <br />per station and 141 rainfall-runoff events in a study to evaluate the magnitude <br />and frequency of flood discharges and volumes for small rural basins in the <br />Arkansas River basin of Colorado. From these recorded data, station flood- <br />frequencies and the relation between peak discharge and flood volume were deter- <br />mined. In addition, a rainfall-runoff model was calibrated for 15 of the water- <br />sheds. and used to produce a long-term synthetic annual flood series. From <br />these synthetic data, station flood-frequencies and the relation between peak <br />discharge and flood volume were again determined. An improved estimate of the <br /> <br />29 <br />