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<br />ROGER A. PIELKE. JR.
<br />
<br />not be one such area. While it is at the stale, local, and individual level that many
<br />decisions wjll be made to reduce vulnerability to floods, an effective long-term so-
<br />lution to the U.S. flood problem will necessarily require some form of coordination
<br />at the scale of the river basin. This is for the simple reason that no flood-vulnerable
<br />community can effectively address its flood problem without having its response
<br />affect other communities both up and down stream. As one assesses the interaction
<br />of communities. one finds thaI the largest unit of amdysis thai can be considered
<br />without concern for community interaction is the river basin, e.g., the Mississippi
<br />river basin. Consequently. coordination is required between communities within
<br />a particular basin or sub-basin: because communities and river basins span lo:al,
<br />state, and Federal jurisdictions, some Form of regional or national level cooperation
<br />is unavoidable.
<br />While cooperation, in theory, appears unavoidable, in practice it has in many
<br />respects been avoided. White (1991, VI.2) notes that 'cooperation among the ad-
<br />ministrators of Federal programs, while generally cordial and helpful, has not yet
<br />yielded a genuinely unified effort. Lacking exemplary effectiveness at that level,
<br />State and local agencies cannot be expected to act in concord in meeting national
<br />goals'. A need for federal leadership in flood policy has been long recognized (e.g.,
<br />CPW, 1959). Yet, although there has been progress with respect to responding to
<br />the U.S. flood problem, many observers continue to identify a need for improved
<br />coordination and leadership at the federal level (e.g., White, 1991; Myers and
<br />White, 1993; Kusler and Larson, 1993; Rasmussen, 1994; Galloway, 1995; Faber
<br />and Hunt, 1996; Wright, 1996),
<br />Calls for changes in federal flood policy are seemingly paradoxical because they
<br />identify a need to be simultaneously more comprehensive and more localized, with
<br />a focus on individual and community responsibility (Kusler and Larson, 1993). The
<br />seeming paradox vanishes upon closer scrutiny: 'individuals, not the government,
<br />must assume responsibility for their locational decisions, and future government
<br />policies must stand firm over time to seek such an approach: (Changnon, 199~,
<br />p. 313). In important respects, the federal government :stabllsh~s.the context In
<br />which individual, local, state, and other public and pnvate deCISions related to
<br />floods will be made. For instance, recent claims that generous flood relief poli.
<br />cies are 'moving the country in the opposite direction from which many feel th~y
<br />should go' point to the incentives toward abdication of individual and com.muOIty
<br />responsibility that such policies create (Wright, ~~96, p. ~71)..Just as polley can
<br />create an unhealthy context for flood~related declslonmakmg, It can also create .a
<br />healthy context, in which individuals and communities will strive to reduce their
<br />own flood vulnerabilities.
<br />
<br />NINE FALLACIES OF FLOODS
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<br />3. Conclusion: Impl,ementing What We Know
<br />
<br />How might the U.S. reach a healthy federal flood policy? Knowledge of what
<br />might be done is available, yet remains to be put to effective use. Not surprisingly,
<br />Gilbert White (1991) provides guidance in this regard worth repeating and difficult
<br />to improve upon:
<br />First, 'unless a strong statement is made by the Congress on the ways in which
<br />the basic policies of the individual Federal agencies are to be related to the un-
<br />derlying aims in managing floodplain resources those policies will have little sig~
<br />nificance in the field where they influence or are constrained by State and locj!l
<br />practices' (White, 1991. p. VI-:~). White further notes there has not been legislation
<br />passed by the Congress stating clearly the overarching goals of U.S. flood policy.
<br />There is no lack of ideas for what such goals ought to be (recently, e.g.. Myers and
<br />White, 1993; Kusler and Larson. 1993; FlFMTF. 1994; IFMRC, 1994; Shabman.
<br />1994; Philippi, 1994/95; Faber and Hunt. 1996; Wright, 1996), A national debate,
<br />resulting in federal legislation delineating both the dimensions of the U.S. flood
<br />problem and the steps needed to address it, would be valuable both as an outcome
<br />and as a process. Such a debate would require leadership at the national level.
<br />Second, 'floodplain policy changes must be taken in the context of broad en-
<br />vironmental goals applied to local conditions' (White, 1991, p. VIA). The federal
<br />role in flood policy is not to specify in great detail how individuals and locales are
<br />to respond to particular situations. Instead, it is to provide a common framework
<br />within which communities and individuals will be ahle to exercise choice. The
<br />federal government is needed also to coordinate the voluminous meteorological,
<br />hydrological, demographic, ecological, economic and other societal information
<br />needed to understand human occupancy of a river basin and floodplain. In addi-
<br />tion, it is the federal government that has the ability to evaluate the interaction
<br />effects of communities acting ion parallel and in 'series' in a particular - floodplain.
<br />Finally, it is the federal government that can establish and enforce statements of
<br />national interest in floodplain management. Policy change will not occur without
<br />broad support for a process of formulation, promulgation. and implemen!ation of a
<br />overarching vision of federal flood policy.
<br />Third, 'as new improvements are made in Federal programs, it would be impor-
<br />t<lnt to craft them on an cxperimental basis with careful provision for evaluation
<br />as they are launched' (White, 1991, p. Vl~3). The value of such experimental
<br />programs is well documented (see, e.g., Brunner (1996) for a discussion). 'Unfor-
<br />tunately, little fonnal recognition has been given to "what works" at the state level'
<br />(BTFFDR, 1995, p. 37). Thus, more attention needs to be paid to why certain
<br />flood policies succeed or fail with respect to addressing the U.S. flood problem.
<br />With the improved understanding gained from experience and practical knowledge,
<br />policymakers will be in better position to replicate successes and terminate failures.
<br />Leadership, vision, and practical knowledge are easy to call for, but much more
<br />difficult to achieve in practice. However, without such an approach from national
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