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<br /> <br />432 <br /> <br />ROGER A. PIELKE. JR. <br /> <br />not be one such area. While it is at the stale, local, and individual level that many <br />decisions wjll be made to reduce vulnerability to floods, an effective long-term so- <br />lution to the U.S. flood problem will necessarily require some form of coordination <br />at the scale of the river basin. This is for the simple reason that no flood-vulnerable <br />community can effectively address its flood problem without having its response <br />affect other communities both up and down stream. As one assesses the interaction <br />of communities. one finds thaI the largest unit of amdysis thai can be considered <br />without concern for community interaction is the river basin, e.g., the Mississippi <br />river basin. Consequently. coordination is required between communities within <br />a particular basin or sub-basin: because communities and river basins span lo:al, <br />state, and Federal jurisdictions, some Form of regional or national level cooperation <br />is unavoidable. <br />While cooperation, in theory, appears unavoidable, in practice it has in many <br />respects been avoided. White (1991, VI.2) notes that 'cooperation among the ad- <br />ministrators of Federal programs, while generally cordial and helpful, has not yet <br />yielded a genuinely unified effort. Lacking exemplary effectiveness at that level, <br />State and local agencies cannot be expected to act in concord in meeting national <br />goals'. A need for federal leadership in flood policy has been long recognized (e.g., <br />CPW, 1959). Yet, although there has been progress with respect to responding to <br />the U.S. flood problem, many observers continue to identify a need for improved <br />coordination and leadership at the federal level (e.g., White, 1991; Myers and <br />White, 1993; Kusler and Larson, 1993; Rasmussen, 1994; Galloway, 1995; Faber <br />and Hunt, 1996; Wright, 1996), <br />Calls for changes in federal flood policy are seemingly paradoxical because they <br />identify a need to be simultaneously more comprehensive and more localized, with <br />a focus on individual and community responsibility (Kusler and Larson, 1993). The <br />seeming paradox vanishes upon closer scrutiny: 'individuals, not the government, <br />must assume responsibility for their locational decisions, and future government <br />policies must stand firm over time to seek such an approach: (Changnon, 199~, <br />p. 313). In important respects, the federal government :stabllsh~s.the context In <br />which individual, local, state, and other public and pnvate deCISions related to <br />floods will be made. For instance, recent claims that generous flood relief poli. <br />cies are 'moving the country in the opposite direction from which many feel th~y <br />should go' point to the incentives toward abdication of individual and com.muOIty <br />responsibility that such policies create (Wright, ~~96, p. ~71)..Just as polley can <br />create an unhealthy context for flood~related declslonmakmg, It can also create .a <br />healthy context, in which individuals and communities will strive to reduce their <br />own flood vulnerabilities. <br /> <br />NINE FALLACIES OF FLOODS <br /> <br />433 <br /> <br />3. Conclusion: Impl,ementing What We Know <br /> <br />How might the U.S. reach a healthy federal flood policy? Knowledge of what <br />might be done is available, yet remains to be put to effective use. Not surprisingly, <br />Gilbert White (1991) provides guidance in this regard worth repeating and difficult <br />to improve upon: <br />First, 'unless a strong statement is made by the Congress on the ways in which <br />the basic policies of the individual Federal agencies are to be related to the un- <br />derlying aims in managing floodplain resources those policies will have little sig~ <br />nificance in the field where they influence or are constrained by State and locj!l <br />practices' (White, 1991. p. VI-:~). White further notes there has not been legislation <br />passed by the Congress stating clearly the overarching goals of U.S. flood policy. <br />There is no lack of ideas for what such goals ought to be (recently, e.g.. Myers and <br />White, 1993; Kusler and Larson. 1993; FlFMTF. 1994; IFMRC, 1994; Shabman. <br />1994; Philippi, 1994/95; Faber and Hunt. 1996; Wright, 1996), A national debate, <br />resulting in federal legislation delineating both the dimensions of the U.S. flood <br />problem and the steps needed to address it, would be valuable both as an outcome <br />and as a process. Such a debate would require leadership at the national level. <br />Second, 'floodplain policy changes must be taken in the context of broad en- <br />vironmental goals applied to local conditions' (White, 1991, p. VIA). The federal <br />role in flood policy is not to specify in great detail how individuals and locales are <br />to respond to particular situations. Instead, it is to provide a common framework <br />within which communities and individuals will be ahle to exercise choice. The <br />federal government is needed also to coordinate the voluminous meteorological, <br />hydrological, demographic, ecological, economic and other societal information <br />needed to understand human occupancy of a river basin and floodplain. In addi- <br />tion, it is the federal government that has the ability to evaluate the interaction <br />effects of communities acting ion parallel and in 'series' in a particular - floodplain. <br />Finally, it is the federal government that can establish and enforce statements of <br />national interest in floodplain management. Policy change will not occur without <br />broad support for a process of formulation, promulgation. and implemen!ation of a <br />overarching vision of federal flood policy. <br />Third, 'as new improvements are made in Federal programs, it would be impor- <br />t<lnt to craft them on an cxperimental basis with careful provision for evaluation <br />as they are launched' (White, 1991, p. Vl~3). The value of such experimental <br />programs is well documented (see, e.g., Brunner (1996) for a discussion). 'Unfor- <br />tunately, little fonnal recognition has been given to "what works" at the state level' <br />(BTFFDR, 1995, p. 37). Thus, more attention needs to be paid to why certain <br />flood policies succeed or fail with respect to addressing the U.S. flood problem. <br />With the improved understanding gained from experience and practical knowledge, <br />policymakers will be in better position to replicate successes and terminate failures. <br />Leadership, vision, and practical knowledge are easy to call for, but much more <br />difficult to achieve in practice. However, without such an approach from national <br />