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<br /> <br />432 <br /> <br />ROGER A. PIELKE, JR. <br /> <br />not be one such area. While it is at the state, local, and individual level that many <br />decisions will be made to reduce v~lnerabilily to floods, an effective long-term so. <br />lution to the U.S. flood problem will necessarily require some form of coordination <br />at the scale of the river basin. This is for the simple reason that no flood-vulnerable <br />community can effectively address its flood problem without having its response <br />affect other communities both up and down stream. As one assesses the interaction <br />of communities. one find's that the largest unit of analysis that can be considered <br />without concern for community interaction is the river basin. e.g., the Mississippi <br />river basin. Consequently, coordination is required between communities within <br />a particular basin or sub-basin: because communities and r.iver basins span lo~al, <br />state, and Federal jurisdictions, some Form of regional or nauonallevel cooperation <br />is unavoidable. <br />While cooperation, in theory, appears unavoidable, in practice it has in many <br />respects been avoided. White (1991, VI-2) notes that 'cooperation among the ad- <br />ministrators of Federal programs, while generally cordial and helpful, has not yet <br />yielded a genuinely unified effort. Lacking exemplary effecti~eness ~t that I.evel, <br />State and local agencies cannot be expected to act in concord In meeting national <br />goals'. A need for federal leadership in flood policy has been long recognized (e.g., <br />CPW. 1959). Yet, although there has been progress with respect to responding to <br />the U.S. flood problem, many observers continue to identify a need for improved <br />coordination and leadership at the federal level (e.g., White, 1991; Myers and <br />White, 1993; Kusler and Larson, 1993; Rasmussen, 1994; Galloway, 1995; Faber <br />and Hunt. 1996: Wright. 1996), <br />Calls for changes in federal flood policy are seemingly paradoxical be~ause th.ey <br />identify a need to be simultaneously more comprehensive and more localized, with <br />a focus on individual and community responsibility (Kusler and Larson, 1993). The <br />seeming paradox vanishes upon closer scrutiny: 'individuals. not the government, <br />must assume responsibility for their locational decisions, and future government <br />policies must stand firm over time to seek such an approach~ (Changnon, 199?, <br />p. 313). In important respects, the federal government ~stabllsh~s. the context In <br />which individual, local, state, and other public and private deCISions related to <br />floods will be made. For instance. recent claims that generous flood relief poli- <br />cies are 'moving the country in the opposite direction from which many feel th~y <br />should go' point to the incentives lOward abdication of individual and com.muOlty <br />responsibility that such policies create (Wright, 1996. p. 271).. Just as policy can <br />create an unhealthy context for flood-related decision making, tt can also create .a <br />healthy context, in which individuals and communities will strive to reduce their <br />own flood vulnerabilities. <br /> <br />NINE FALLACIES OF FLOODS <br /> <br />433 <br /> <br />3. Conclusion: I~pl.ement~n.g What We Know. <br /> <br />How might the U.S. reach a healthy federal flood policy? Knowledge of what <br />might be done is available, yet remains to be put to effective use. Not surprisingly, <br />Gilbert White (1991) provides guidance in this regard worth repeating and difficult <br />to improve upon: <br />First, 'unless a strong statement is made by the Congress on the ways in which <br />the basic policies of the individual Federal agencies are to be related to the un- <br />derlying aims in managing floodplain resources those policies will have little sig- <br />nificance in the field where they influence or are constrained by State and locj!1 <br />practices' (White. 1991, p. VI-]). White further notes there has not been legislation <br />passed by the Congress stating clearly the overarching goals of U.S. flood policy. <br />There is no lack of ideas for what such goals ought to be (recently. e.g.. Myers and <br />White, 1993: Kusler and Larson, 1993; FIFMTF, 1994; IFMRC, 1994; Shabman, <br />1994: Philippi. 1994/95; Faber and Hunt, 1996: Wright. 1996), A national debate, <br />resulting in federal legislation delineating both the dimensions of the U.S. flood <br />problem and the steps needed to address it, would be valuable both as an outcome <br />and as a process. Such a debate would require leadership at the national level. <br />Second, 'floodplain policy changes must be taken in the context of broad en- <br />vironmental goals applied to local conditions' (White, 1991. p. VIA). The federal <br />role in flood policy is not to specify in great detail how individuals and locales are <br />to respond to particular situations. Instead. it is to provide a common framework <br />within which communities and individuals will be able to exercise choice. The <br />federal government is needed also to coordinate the voluminous meteorological. <br />hydrological. demographic, ecological, economic and ocher societal information <br />needed to understand human occupancy of a river basin .md floodplain. ]n addi- <br />lion, it is the federal government that has the ability to evaluale the interaction <br />effects of communities acting in parallel and in'series'in a particular'floodplain. <br />Finally, it is the federal government that can establish and enforce statements of <br />national interest in Iloodplain management. Policy change will not occur without <br />broad suppor! for a process of formulation, promulgation. and implementation of a <br />overarching vision of federal flood policy. <br />Third, 'as new improvements are made in Federal programs. it would be impor- <br />tant 10 cmft them on an experimental basis with careful provision for evaluation <br />as they are launched' (White, 1991. p. VI-3). The value of such experimental <br />programs is well documented (see, e.g., Brunner (1996) for a discussion). 'Unfor- <br />tunately, little fonnal recognition has been given to "what works" at the state level' <br />(BTFFDR, 1995, p. 37). Thus, more attention needs to be paid to why certain <br />flood policies succeed or fail with respect to addressing the U.S. flood problem. <br />With the improved understanding gained from experience and practical knowledge, <br />policymakers will be in better position to replicate successes and terminate failures. <br />Leadership, vision, and practical knowledge are easy to call for, but much more <br />difficult (0 achieve in practice. However, without such an approach from national <br />