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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />6 <br /> <br />III HYDROLOGIC ~NALYSIS <br /> <br />to develop the flood flows in the Dry Gulch basin, using the <br />CUHP. <br /> <br />General <br /> <br /> <br />The Urban Drainage and Flood Control District directed that four <br /> <br /> <br />specific flood flows were to be evaluated during the development <br /> <br /> <br />of the master plan for Dry and North Dry Gulches. These were <br /> <br /> <br />the floods which could be expected to occur, on the average, once <br /> <br /> <br />every five, ten, fifty, and one-hundred years. These floods are <br /> <br /> <br />referred to as the five-year, ten-year, fifty-year, and one hun- <br /> <br /> <br />dred-year floods; they have likelihoods of occurring or being <br /> <br /> <br />exceeded in anyone year of 20%, lO%, 2%, and l% respectively. <br /> <br /> <br />Whenever possible in a hydrOlogic analysis, estimates of peak <br /> <br /> <br />flow rates would be determined through a statistical analysis <br /> <br /> <br />of recorded floods. However, no usable records exist of floods <br /> <br /> <br />in the Dry Gulch basin. Additionally, the flood flows which <br /> <br /> <br />were to be evaluated were those which would occur under the <br /> <br /> <br />simulated condition of "full development" in the basin. For <br /> <br /> <br />these reasons, a less direct but more flexible method was employed <br /> <br /> <br />to estimate the flood flows. <br /> <br />Delineation of Basins <br /> <br /> <br />The initial step in the analysis was to define the routes which <br /> <br /> <br />flood flows would take in the basin. While this is a very simple <br /> <br /> <br />procedure in many drainage basins, it became very complicated in <br /> <br /> <br />the basins of this analysis. The flows frequently leave their <br /> <br /> <br />apparent "natural" channels and travel along street or other un- <br /> <br /> <br />natural routes. The flows sometimes diverge into two routes and <br /> <br /> <br />then converge some distance downstream. These flow patterns will <br /> <br /> <br />be addressed in more detail in a subsequent section. Key points, <br /> <br /> <br />designated "points of hydrologic computation," were selected <br /> <br /> <br />along the channels of Dry and North Dry Gulches as points at <br /> <br /> <br />which calculations would be made of flow rates. The basins and <br /> <br /> <br />sub-basins tributary to each point were defined by locating the <br /> <br /> <br />dividing ridges between them. Sheet 2 of l8 in Section VII <br /> <br /> <br />illustrates the main channel routes, the "points of hydrologic <br /> <br /> <br />computation," and the basin boundaries. <br /> <br />The Urban Drainage Criteria Manual (Reference 3), presents a <br /> <br /> <br />method for predicting flood flows based upon a statistical analysis <br /> <br /> <br />of rainfall and runoff characteristics. The method is known <br /> <br /> <br />as the Colorado Urban Hydrograph Procedure (CUHP) and makes <br /> <br /> <br />possible the development of a flood hydrograph from an analysis <br /> <br /> <br />of rainfall. Presented in this section are the steps employed <br /> <br />Rainfall <br /> <br /> <br />Rainfall data for storms of various return periods were obtained <br /> <br /> <br />from Reference 3. Synthetic rainstorms of 200 minute lengths <br /> <br /> <br />were then developed for the five-year, ten-year, fifty-year and <br /> <br /> <br />one hundred-year events. The total rainfall amounts are presented <br /> <br /> <br />in Table III-l. <br />