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<br />San Juan/Dolores Basin <br />The SWSI value (+0.8) indicates that December water basin supplies were near nonnal. Flow at <br />the gaging station at Animas River near Durango was 321 cfs, as compared to the long-term <br />average of 228 cfs. Storage in McPhee, Vallecito, and Lemon reservoir totaled 88% of nonnal <br />at the end of December. <br /> <br />Monthly Climate Report <br /> <br />Nolan Doesken. Colorado State Universitv. Colorado Climate Center <br />Mr. Doesken commented that Boulder has been getting a lot of moisture, and that Fort Collins is <br />also doing ok. (Boulder has had six months of above nonnal precipitation, which is the longest <br />consecutive period in the last ten years.) He reported that the last three days of December had <br />good precipitation for Colorado, and that the southwest had some good stonns. Mr. Doesken <br />said December was mostly dry and had below average precipitation (especially the eastern <br />plains), but that the southwest Colorado Mountains received highly above average precipitation. <br /> <br />Mr. Doesken mentioned the 3-Month SPI shows us a favorable side--nothing real negative; the <br />12-Month SPI shows a wet southeast, dry northeast, and wet up the front range. <br /> <br />He said the 48-Month SPI is hanging on to a long-term, long-duration drought, particularly in the <br />northeast and southwest. Mr. Doesken stated the January precipitation will have an impact here. <br />He also noted that we were up to 85% of the state in a drought, which was the most widespread <br />drought condition shown based on this 48-month computation. Mr. Doesken explained that the <br />48-Month SPI now is down to only 21 % in drought which is a rapid decline in the area of the <br />state effected. He said there was also a rapid decline in the dustbowl years, and then it reverted <br />back to a drought. Mr. Doesken commented that a big, wide-spread drought usually lasts longer <br />than this one has so far, and anything can happen. He said the years of 1938 and 1939 were the <br />driest years in our state history. <br /> <br />Mr. Doesken's predictions for the next 12 months show only a portion of the state in drought if <br />the next six months are dry. He stated we could recover if it stays wet through the summer or for <br />the next 12 months. <br /> <br />Mr. Doesken encouraged people to visit the "cocorahs" website at www.cocorahs.org. <br /> <br />Short-term Forecasted Weather and Extended Outlook <br /> <br />Bob Glancv. National Weather Service <br />Mr. Glancy predicted wanner temperatures for this Wednesday and Thursday and then back to <br />the 50's for this Friday. His forecast for Saturday is cooler and for Sunday to be fairly mild. <br /> <br />Mr. Glancy also forecasted wanner temperatures in the west and colder in the east for this next <br />week, and stated that the wind blowing at this time means higher temperatures. <br /> <br />Mr. Glancy predicted dry, windy, warmer weather for the next seven days with a possibility of <br />flurries in the mountains. He also warned of the avalanche danger during these times. <br />