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LongTermOutlookSept2004
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LongTermOutlookSept2004
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Last modified
9/27/2011 3:59:53 PM
Creation date
9/30/2006 10:22:55 AM
Metadata
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Template:
Drought Mitigation
Title
Seasonal Outlook into late winter
Date
9/21/2004
Description
Presentation
Basin
Statewide
Drought Mitigation - Doc Type
Presentation
Document Relationships
ClimateUpdateSept2004
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
SWSIReportSept2004
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
WATFAgendaSept2004
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
WATFSummarySept2004
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
WildlifeUpdateSept2004
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
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<br />Model Forecasts of ENSO from Sep 2004 <br /> <br />3 <br /> <br />IRI <br /> <br />o <br />'<... <br />>- <br />'" <br />E <br />o <br />c: <br />'" <br />f- o. <br />(f) <br />(f) <br />'<t <br />8 0 <br />z <br />z <br /> <br />/ <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Dynamical ModeJ" <br />. NASA <br />. NCEP/CMP <br />. NCEPrCFS <br />. JMA <br />. SCRIPPS <br />LDEO <br />. AUs,. POAM A <br />. ECMWF <br />. KOREA SNU <br />. ZHANG leM <br />ECHAM,MOM <br /> <br />2.5 <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />1.5 <br /> <br />. <br />......H -----~ <br />! .--,., ~- -. .-- <br />~.- _ i--..- ~ :-= -.'J- '......~ ii _;-- -..:'-_ <br />_. :>-. _.- "- <br />.:~ ""<:-:::.. ~::-- "~~I' <br />'- . . . --. .---. --~:. <br />.... .'-... <br />....... <br />~~~- <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />- ,- <br /> <br />Statistical Model: <br /> <br />-, <br /> <br />CPC MRKOV <br />CDCUM <br />o CPC CA <br />CPC CCA <br />CSU CU PR <br />UBC NNET <br />r:; FSU AEGR <br /> <br />-0,5 <br /> <br />-1.5 <br /> <br />oas FORECAST <br /> <br />o UCLA_TCD <br /> <br />Aug ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AP.-U MJJ <br />2005 <br /> <br />ENS 0 forecasts from 11 numerical and 8 statistical forecast <br />models: persistence hard to beat into early next year! <br /> <br />-2 <br />JJA <br />2004 <br />
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