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<br />Page 4 <br /> <br />In the agricultural sector, based on estimated full irrigation <br />water requi rements, a deficiency in avai lable supply present Iy exists in the <br />range of about 70,000 to 140,000 ac-ft/yr, depending on hydrologic conditions, <br />crop pattern, and growing season weather. Because of conversion of agricul- <br />tural land to urban-type uses, this deficiency in agricultural water supply is <br />forecast to deel ine to about 78,000 ac-ft in the year 2020 under a planned <br />target of providing 85% of the calculated Blaney-Criddle requirement during a <br />one in 10-year drought condition. This forecast assumes no further develop- <br />ment of the Basin's water resources for agriculture, but with improved overal I <br />irrigation efficiency from the presently estimated 45% to 50%. Agricultural <br />water requirements as presented herein are not to be construed as an economic <br />demand for water, since the cost of providing new supplies to meet present and <br />projected defici ts appears to be great Iy in excess of the economic return of <br />such water in crop production. Instead, water requirements were calculated <br />based on the empirical Blaney-Criddle approach to meeting the physiological <br />water requirements of crops to provide full crop yields or slightly reduced <br />yields during droughts. <br /> <br />2. Potential Additional Water Resources Development <br /> <br />The Study finds that about 13,000 ac-ft/yr of addi tional native <br />St. Vrain Creek water can be developed under a junior water right as firm <br />supply for M&I purposes. The storage capacity required to develop this supply <br />under the M&I drought criterion adopted for this Study would be about <br />80,000 ae-ft. Estimated costs of constructing a reservoir of this capacity <br />would be relatively high for any sites within the Study Area. Consequently, <br />it is concluded that this water supply would be too costly for irrigated agri- <br />culture in the absence of significant subsidies. <br /> <br />The potential for development of large water supplies from ground <br />water is considered negligible, due to prevai ling geologic conditions in the <br />Basin and the tributary nature of shal low alluvial aquifers. <br /> <br />3. Hydroelectric Potential <br /> <br />The potential for developing a signi ficant amount of conventional <br />hydroelectric power to produce revenues that would appreciably offset the cost <br />of a water resources project does not exist due to limited streamflows. How- <br />ever, the potential may exist for a moderate sized pumped-storage peaking <br />power development to be economically competitive with alternatives, but the <br />Study did not thoroughly evaluate this potential. Further study would be nec- <br />essary to identify and compare a potential project in the St. Vrain Basin with <br />other potential pumped-storage projects in the region where such capacity <br />could be marketed. <br /> <br />4. Non-Structural Water Resource Management Measures <br /> <br />The Study has identified a large array of non-structural measures <br />that have considerable potential to increase efficiency of water use or to <br />reduce the level of demand. Incorporation of selected non-structural measures <br /> <br />I <br />I I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />