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<br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Page 3 <br /> <br />reasonably be considered as anci Ilary features of plans formulated primari Iy <br />for water supply purposes. <br /> <br />In Step 2, preliminary alternative water resource management plans <br />were formulated by combining selected non-structural and structural elements <br />to meet various target levels of water supply development. Some 98 structural <br />elements and 26 non-structural elements were identi fied and evaluated on a <br />prel iminary basis. By combining various elements, ten prel iminary alternative <br />plans were formulated, of which six were subsequently evaluated. A computer- <br />ized River Basin Simulation Model was used as a tool in analyzing the antici- <br />pated performance of the formulated plans. <br /> <br />D. Findings and Conclusions <br /> <br />1. Water Supply and Demand <br /> <br />Native surface water resources in the Study Area average about <br />118,000 ac-ft/yr as represented by the combined runoff of St. Vrain and left <br />Hand creeks where they enter the plains from the foothi lis zone. Imported <br />water via the Colorado-Big Thompson Project has averaged about 31,000 ac-ft/yr <br />since the latter 1950's. Ground water usage and potential are I imi ted, and <br />the present use of this resource is estimated to be about g,ooo ac-ft/yr. <br /> <br />For the municipal and industrial (M&I) sector, population and <br />industrial growth are expected to result in increased water demand in the <br />Study Area from about 18,000 ac-ft/yr presently to about 44,000 ac-ft/yr in <br />2020 under a medium population growth scenario for drought year conditions. <br />The present fi rm annual water supply in the M&I sector is estimated to be <br />about 18,000 ac-ft. If no further supplies are developed and demand-reduction <br />measures are not implemented, the deficiency in year 2020 would be about <br />26,000 ac-ft/yr of firm supply. longmont's entitlement to 8,000 ac-ft of <br />Windy Gap Project supply could be uti lized to partially satisfy this deficit. <br /> <br />If this entitlement to Windy Gap Project supply is uti lized within <br />the Basin, not considering the potential for reuse, it is estimated that an <br />adequate drought-year supply wi II be avai lable for M&I purposes unti I some <br />point in the decade of year 2000 to 2010, assuming suitable cooperative <br />arrangements are consummated to ensure distribution of supplies to all users. <br />However, in the absence of further water resource development beyond utiliza- <br />tion of the Windy Gap supply and conversion of agricultural water rights on <br />urbanized lands to M&I use, drought-year supply capacity for M&I purposes <br />would be inadequate by about 18,000 ac-ft/yr in 2020 for a medium population <br />growth scenario. The Study placed considerable emphasis on identifying and <br />evaluating measures to reduce municipal water demand, both in average hydro- <br />logic years and in drought conditions. The Study adopted a criterion of pro- <br />viding capacity for M&I water supply in combination with demand reduction <br />sufficient to meet conditions anticipated during a 1 in 30-year drought. <br />Plans developed by the Study identify and evaluate alternative means for meet- <br />ing the projected M&I supply deficiency. <br />