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tion of a potential change, the organisms that might be <br />affected, and the beneficial uses of a given water body <br />(MacDonald et al., 1991). <br />3.4. Nutrients <br />Forest management activities such as forest thinning and <br />harvesting can alter the rates and processes of nutrient <br />cycling. Catchment -scale studies have produced a large <br />body of data on the effects of forest management on <br />nutrient concentrations and total loads. The observed <br />changes in nutrient concentrations vary substantially <br />between locations, even when the studies are within a <br />single physiographic region. Most recent studies in the <br />U.S. have found only small nutrient losses following for- <br />est harvest and no significant degradation of water qual- <br />ity. There usually is minimal opportunity for a buildup <br />of these nutrients in streams or lakes after timber harvest <br />because the period of increased nutrient flux to the <br />stream is normally very brief (Currier, 1980). Nutrient <br />losses by leaching are usually minor compared to the nu- <br />trient losses by biomass removal (Johnson, et al., 1988; <br />Mann et al., 1988; Clayton and Kennedy, 1985; Martin <br />and Harr, 1989). <br />Streams emanating from undisturbed forested catch- <br />ments generally have very low nitrate- nitrogen concen- <br />trations (0.002 - 1.0 mg L -1 NO3 -N) ( Binkley and Brown, <br />1993a;b). Concentrations are low because nitrogen is <br />rapidly taken up by plants and other organisms, and <br />nitrate formation (nitrification) rates are slow. The low <br />rates of nitrification in forested environments are due to <br />the slow rates of organic matter decomposition, acid soil <br />conditions, and bacterial allelopathy. <br />In general, nutrient mobility from disturbed forests fol- <br />lows the order of nitrogen > potassium > calcium and <br />magnesium > phosphorus. Thus forest harvest or other <br />disturbances such as fire will generally produce larger <br />differences in nitrogen concentrations than other con- <br />stituents. <br />Timber harvesting may temporarily increase nitrate - <br />nitrogen concentrations in soil and stream waters. If <br />vegetation is quickly reestablished, the increases in <br />nitrate - nitrogen are short-lived and usually do not repre- <br />sent a threat to water quality or site productivity. At the <br />Fraser Experimental Forest clearcutting increased the <br />amount of ammonium and nitrate in the snowpack but <br />decreased the amount of potassium. Nitrate concentra- <br />tions increased in both shallow and deeper subsurface <br />flows, while potassium concentrations increased in soil <br />water and shallow subsurface flow (Reuss et al., 1997). <br />27 <br />The increase in nitrate - nitrogen concentrations was <br />from 0.006 to 0.06 mg L-1, but these values are still far <br />below the criterion for drinking water of 10 mg L-1. The <br />increased ion flux was still apparent at the plot scale a <br />decade after treatment (Reuss et al., 1997; Stottlemeyer <br />and Troendle, 1999), but the increased nutrient flux was <br />not detectable at the watershed scale. The estimated loss <br />of nitrogen due to leaching over the first eight years after <br />harvest was 48 kg ha', while the atmospheric input over <br />the same time period was approximately 59 kg ha' (Re- <br />uss et al., 1997). <br />The Hubbard Brook study in the northeastern U.S. is of- <br />ten cited as an example of the effects of timber harvest- <br />ing on water quality (Likens et al., 1970). In this study <br />the vegetation was cut and left on -site, and the hillslopes <br />were sprayed with a general herbicide for three years to <br />prevent any plant regeneration. Nutrient concentrations, <br />particularly nitrate- nitrogen, increased significantly. <br />This study helped identify nutrient cycling processes, <br />but it does not represent the typical effects of timber <br />harvesting on water quality. <br />In summary, timber harvest has only a minor effect on <br />nutrient concentrations in surface waters. In the absence <br />of extensive erosion and sediment delivery to the stream <br />network, total phosphorus concentrations should show a <br />significantly increase. Increased exports of nitrate -nitro- <br />gen are usually short-lived, and the concentrations are <br />low relative to drinking water standards. Losses often are <br />less than atmospheric inputs. <br />3.5. Fertilization <br />Fertilization to improve forest growth rates is uncommon <br />in Colorado. Studies in other areas have reported widely <br />varying effects of forest fertilization on water quality <br />(e.g., Fredriksen et al., 1975; Stephens, 1975; Bisson et <br />al., 1992; Binkley and Brown, 1993b; NCASI, 1999b). <br />Most studies indicate no significant increase in ammo- <br />nium- nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations in streams <br />after fertilization. Nitrate - nitrogen concentrations may <br />increase, but the increases are short-lived as nutrient <br />retention by forest soils is excellent. As long as aerial <br />applications do not put fertilizers directly into streams or <br />other water bodies, forest fertilization should have little <br />effect on nutrient concentrations in surface waters. <br />3.6. Prescribed Fire and Wildfire <br />There is an increasing body of literature on the effects <br />of both prescribed and wild fires in forests. A number of <br />studies have documented the changes in runoff, erosion, <br />