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<br />understanding that everything is transient; nothing lasts forever, <br />including species. Survival or extinction are probalistic phenomenon, <br />and not deterministic phenomenon. The chances of a wild population's <br />survival depends greatly on its abundance and how widespread it is. <br />This is a general rule that varies with the particular circumstances. <br />A species survival also depends on its genetic diversity. Genetic <br />diversity is a function of how abundant and widespread the species is; <br />the larger the population, the more widespread the species, the <br />greater the level of genetic diversity it will generally contain. <br />The reason that we have a problem, quite literally folks, is that <br />we are running out of room. I know that maybe hard to image or <br />believe. It is particularly hard for me. I am from the east coast. <br />I flew out to Denver yesterday, and rented a car to drive up here. <br />It was a magnificent drive through very beautiful country. I did not <br />see many houses compared to northern Virginia, where I live. However, <br />we are running out of room in this country and in other countries to <br />maintain the full diversity of living things. <br />I would like to give some examples to illustrate this. By our <br />best estimates, we have reduced our wetlands by 50% since the arrival <br />of our European ancestors to North America. There are approximately <br />one-half the marshes, swamps and potholes today as there were 500 <br />years ago. In our ancient forests, I am defining ancient forests as <br />the very old forests of the Pacific Northwest, the trees are on <br />average somewhere between 250 and 450 years old, though some are much <br />older. There is only 10% of those ancient forests left. I think Ms. <br />Sheftel brought up the point about balance when she referred to <br />Senator Hatfield's column. Senator Hatfield was discussing the <br />Endangered Species Act and the lack of balanced resource management <br />in the Pacific Northwest today. I agree with him. However, I do not <br />agree with the reason he gave us. The problem is not the Endangered <br />Species Act. When 90% of a natural system has been removed, and there <br />is only 10% left, where is the balance? If the 10% that is left is <br />absolutely essential for maintaining that system and all the species <br />that it supports, it seems to me that having given up 90% is pretty <br />good balance. Consider, tall grass prairie, there is less than 1% of <br />the original tall grass prairie left in the United States. Long leaf <br />pine was once an expansive community along the coastal plain from <br />Virginia to the Gulf Coast of Louisiana. Currently, less than one- <br />half of one percent of that original community type is left. <br />What percentage of the fish fauna of the United States is at <br />risk? When we focus a debate on a specific species we need to <br />understand the broader pattern it represents. Regardless of whether <br />we are discussing the Colorado Squawfish, the Spotted Owl, or the <br />Desert Tortoise, it is a reverberation of the same theme. More and <br />more of our natural world is at risk. The total species diversity of <br />North American fresh water fish is about 790 species and there are. <br />many subspecies within that figure. The Nature Conservancy, which I <br />think does the best job of keeping tabs on which species are at risk <br />or are vulnerable to becoming threatened or endangered, lists about <br />269 of those 790 species in various categories of risk. Currently, <br />the federal government lists only 55 of those species as threatened <br />or endangered. However, by adding in the candidates their figure <br />would be very close to TNC. Therefore, roughly one-third of the fish <br />species diversity in North America is at some level of risk. I do not <br /> <br />82 <br />