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<br />The role of variation has been reported to have particular significance to the ecology of lotic fishes. <br />Several studies have shown that native fishes tolerate higher flow events than nonnative fishes in arid <br />streams (Meffe and Minckley 1987, Minckley and Meffe 1987, Deacon 1988, Hoffnagle et al. In review, <br />Muth and Nesler 1993) in the Southwest. Even if the current flow scenario would allow for the <br />persistence of endangered fishes in the Yampa River, we know that additional depletions will occur over <br />time. Two studies of the potential increase of human demands within the Yampa River basin (Yam va <br />River Alternatives Feasibilitv Studv - Hydrosphere 1993 and, Yampa Vallev Water Demand Study - BBC <br />Research and Consulting 1998) have suggested that water depletions will grow by approximately 49,000 <br />acre feet annually to satisfy human demand over the next 50 years. Instances and duration of lower <br />baseflows are likely to increase over present conditions. The number of years with high or optimal <br />baseflow conditions (for endangered fishes) will most likely be fewer, while the number of years with low <br />baseflows will increase in frequency. Given this scenario, we recommend the development of a water <br />management plan for the Yampa River. We recommend this water management plan use 93 cfs as a <br />target for the minimum instream flow. However, we also recommend that the flow management plan not <br />be restricted to achieving 93 cfs in 100% of the years, but include examining the frequency, magnitude, <br />and duration of flow events under 93 cfs observed during the period of record (1916-1998). This report <br />was directed to determine the baseflow needs of fishes, and does not prioritize the needs of high spring <br />flows as spawning cues and channel forming forces versus the baseflow needs of fishes during the <br />summer months. Crucial to the next phase of a water management plan will be to evaluate and prioritize <br />the temporal distribution of flow. The flow management plan needs to provide a suite of operational <br />strategies on how a "carve out" and other water rights could be administered to satisfy both the high-flow <br />needs of endangered fishes and the baseflow recommendation provided in this report. <br /> <br />14 <br />