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<br />Recommendations <br /> <br />The magnitude of spring runoff flows in the Yampa River are relatively natural, with average flows <br />reduced only about 5% to 6%. In contrast, baseflows have been reduced from historical flows by an <br />average of 30% and up to 80% in dry years. As flows recede below a certain threshold, characteristics <br />such as depth, wetted width, velocity, cross sectional area, etc., rapidly decline, creating loss of habitat <br />stability, quality and quantity. The flow management recommendations in this report were determined by <br />identifying curves breaks in geomorphic and hydraulic variables that form habitat for endangered fishes. <br />Curve break flows represented the condition of maximum change in selected variables with reduced flow, <br />and thus the greatest impact on the environment of endangered fishes. The lack of significant differences <br />in curve break flows among variables and strata suggested a consistent response in the river channel as a <br />function of flow. Estimates of the maximum rate change among river channel variables with low flows <br />were comparable with, and supported by, estimates of weighted useable area for both Colorado <br />pikeminnow and humpback chub, and risk estimates of potential barriers to migrational and local <br />movement of fishes. <br /> <br />Curve break analysis of channel variables suggested that baseflow management for endangered fishes in <br />the Yampa River below Craig, Colorado should target 93 cfs. This baseflow management <br />recommendation is slightly lower than curve breaks based on simulated (RHABSIM) habitat availability <br />for endangered fishes and the flow defined as needed to prevent barriers to local movement. Instream <br />migrational barriers do not appear to be problematic for returning postspawned Colorado pikeminnow. <br />However, it is evident from the historic record that flows less than 93 cfs have been recorded at the <br />Maybell gage. In 31 of 84 years of record less than 93 cfs have been recorded at the Maybell gage. <br />During the same 84 years of record, flows of less than 93 cfs for a period in excess of 14 days or more <br />have occurred in 19 years. Because flows have dropped below 93 cfs during the period of record at the <br />Maybell gage, and endangered fishes are extant in the Yampa River, it appears that 93 cfs in not a <br />threshold flow and will not reduce endangered fish populations ifviolated within the realm of historical <br />frequency. Therefore we conclude that flows below 93 cfs is near the threshold flow that may be limiting <br />to productivity of aquatic invertebrates and other aquatic organisms dependent on viability of riffle <br />habitats. For long term recovery and stability of endangered fish populations, it is reasonable to maintain <br />those organisms in the system that are dependent upon riffle production. <br /> <br />13 <br />