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<br />resources that must be displaced from elsewhere in the national economy. Thus, <br />there is no net positive impact from this expenditure on thermal expansion. The <br />recreation resources within the Basin are unique and the loss of these recreation <br />opportunities cannot be replaced within the U.S. economy. <br /> <br />The aggregate total percent changes from the baseline are reported in Table 7. For Scenario A, <br />regional gross product is projected to increase by 0.0009 percent as a result of listing and the <br />proposed critical habitat. Since the national effects are accounted for in the CGE model, this <br />would represent an increase in the national gross product. Employment is projected to increase <br />by 0.0015 percent, earnings by 0.0018 percent, and government revenues by 0.0007 percent. In <br />Scenario B, the additions to the thermal generation capacity are treated as a transfer from the rest <br />of the national economy; expenditures are the result of a pure shift of resources from outside the <br />region. Gross regional product is projected to decline from the without fish baseline value by <br />-0.0008 percent. Employment is projected to decline by -0.0010 percent, earnings by -0.0002 <br />percent and government revenue by -0.0016 percent. <br /> <br />TABLE 7 <br />CGE Results as Percent Deviations from a Baseline Economy: The Case of Thermal Generation <br />Scenarios A and B <br />(Critical Habitat) <br /> <br /> Scenario A Scenario 8 <br />Real Gross Regional Product 0.0009% -0.0008% <br />Employment 0.0015% -0.0010% <br />Earnings 0.0018% -0.0002% <br />Total Government Revenues 0.0007% -0.0016% <br /> <br />Finally, under Scenario A, aggregate consumer surplus increases by $1.95 million. Producer <br />surplus is projected to decline by $0.41 million. Under Scenario 8, aggregate consumer surplus <br />decreases by -$2.59 million and producer surplus decreases by $0.50 million. The total surplus <br /> <br />37 <br />