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Nladel Forecasts of ENS~~ from Mar 208
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<br />Dynamical P~lodel:
<br />Latest ENSO forecasts from almost
<br />. A~~~o
<br />^ M:EP CFS
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<br />two dozen dynamical & statistical
<br />SCRIPPU
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<br />forecast models (below) vs. four
<br />AUSi Pt)A1a113
<br />^ ECMWF
<br />months prior (left). Most models
<br />UK~u10
<br />show little change over the next few
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<br />months
<br />with a four (two) projections
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<br />+ into mild E1 Nino (La Nina) territory.
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<br />letFRAM:,E
<br />JPI~FR~,U~
<br />sue, Mc~~iel Forecasts of ENS from Jr~1 DOS
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<br />2008 ~
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<br />Historically, La Nina events of N ~~
<br />the recent magnitude have had a =-0,
<br />tendency to continue for another _,
<br />year (54-57; 73-76; 98-01), ,.
<br />much more so than EZ Ninos. -.
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<br />Dynamical Model:
<br />^ NASAGMA~
<br />^ PJ.^,EP CFS
<br />^ ,IIJIA
<br />SCRIPPS
<br />^ LDEO
<br />AUSiPOAMA
<br />^ ECMWF
<br />u UKMO
<br />^ ItMASNU
<br />^ ESSIC ICM
<br />ECH{lM'MOM
<br />^ UOLAANJC7~~1
<br />^ h+letFRAM:E
<br />,1Phl-FPICGC
<br />40L4i~SM3
<br />Statistical f~lodel:
<br />~3 CPU ~~1RKOV
<br />C6t. LIf~A
<br />i.Pi. C,14
<br />O GPi, C]GA
<br />O CSU GLIPR
<br />_ U&~ NNET
<br />o FSU REGR
<br />c= UCLI~TCCl
<br />Y~At~1J Jun JJA ,IAS ASS SON C]ND NDJ Q1F JFM F~~1A f~1A~Jl
<br />2008 ~dd9
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