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I.~ T ~n~mal lun~~ <br />EI'Ffc~r~~~atfr~rr~ 1 ~ ~~ <br />h~lanthfy min ~r~amali~~ rel~tria~€~ ~ I I~EP ~djrrted ~Iv~ 1~?1-~(J~ ~lim~t~l~gq <br />1 <br />.~. <br />* a+ f <br />+ + <br />*~+~ t <br />f <br />~+ <br />ika <br />~ _~ <br />,~ <br /> <br />P~1r4R ,ERR P~1~4~' JUN JUL r~L~ CEP ACT hJ~~ DES ~r~h~ FE9 I,~r <br />F~I~aat i~~u~ cia~:1.~ ~s~p ~ <br />1 <br /> <br />_~ <br />~i <br />~ -1 <br /> <br />1 <br /> <br />_~ <br />IN~3.4 SST anomaly plume <br />~WFforecastfrom 7 Jul 2048 <br />nalias relative b I ICEP adjusted OIv2 19T1-20[70 Gimatology <br />REF ~C"f f~ DEC JAN FEE Y,~.~R AFR I,r1.~Y ~ ~ <br />~~1~1~ ~~ <br />Farast issue dat~:15 f41ar 0~ <br />As it turned out, the tropical Pacific cooled ~° <br />off more than expected (-2C vs. -1C), but o <br />a, <br />has indeed recovered dramatically this <br />spring. The rest of 2008 (right) could bring <br />The European model's September <br />forecast (left) anticipated moderate La <br />Nina conditions through the end of 2007, <br />hinting at a warm-up thereafter; <br />NIN03.4 SST anomaty plume <br />ECM W F iorecasi from i Mar 2008 <br />JAr~I FE® I'~1AR ,MFR f,~1~~ JUC~ JL~L ALIT DER SGT f~J~~ QED JA~J FE8 f~+IAR <br />~~~~ ~~ <br />Feast issue dat~:15 Jul <br />