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7/28/2009 2:39:07 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
A Diagnostic Technique for Targeting During Airborne Seeding Experiments in Wintertime Storms over the Sierra Nevada
Date
7/7/1988
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />JULY 1988 <br /> <br />RAUBER ET AL. <br /> <br />815 <br /> <br />crest. These accelerations had no effect on any of the <br />trajectory calculations. The trajectories that did pass <br />into region C did so only in the lower regions well <br />upwind of the crestline (see Fig. 3). To estimate the <br />wind components in region C, the region was divided <br />into five additional flow channels of equal pressure <br />depth. The U-, V-, and w-components of the flow were <br />then calculated in a manner similar to regions A <br />and B. <br />The method to determine the wind fields for target- <br />ing applies to flow in a stable or neutral atmosphere. <br />In many storms, convective motions were also present. <br />In conditions typical of fixed target experiments, weak <br />convection often occurred, generally embedded in the <br />larger-scale orographic cloud. The depth, frequency, <br />duration and strength of these convective motions were <br />functions of the time and location in the storm and <br />were, in general, unpredictable. <br />An estimate of the possible errors that convective <br />motions may introduce to targeting calculations has <br />been calculated by King (1984). King studied the effects <br />of several cloud parameters on targeting in stratiform <br />clouds containing weak embedded convection that oc- <br />cur over western Victoria, Australia. He found that <br />varying the magnitude of a constant updraft in his tar- <br />geting calculations from 0.0 to 0.5 m S-I, all other vari- <br />ables staying the same, caused an overall 16% change <br />in the transit time of a particle from its nucleation <br />point to the surface. In SCPP clouds, the mean vertical <br />velocity due to orographic lift encountered by a particle, <br />based on the terrain slope and typical horizontal ve- <br />locities, was in the range 0.2-0.4 m S-I. Convective <br />motions, positive or negative, could impose on these <br />orographic motions brief periods of vertical velocities <br />exceeding 1 m S-I. Averaged over the total particle tra- <br />jectory, the mean vertical velocity including convection <br />would most likely fall within the range of :to.5 m S-I <br />of the value for pure orographic flow. Using King's <br />estimates, it is probable that convection could cause <br />errors in the total transit time up to 16%. The corre- <br />sponding displacement of the impact point would de- <br />pend on the intensity and location of the convection <br />when encountered by the particle and the horizontal <br />wind speeds. In SCPP experiments, it was likely that <br />the variations in seeded particle trajectories imposed <br />by convection were averaged out by seeding over a <br />sufficiently long time period with several seedlines. <br />Typical experiments continued for 1-2 h with five-ten <br />seedlines placed within the clouds. <br /> <br />b. Microphysics <br /> <br />1) PARTICLE GROWTH RATES AND HABITS <br /> <br />Ice crystal habits and particle axial growth rates are <br />highly dependent on temperature and supersaturation <br />(Hallett and Mason 1958; Kobayashi 1961; Magono <br />and Lee 1966; Ryan et at 1976). Because seeding oc- <br /> <br />curred at a variety of cloud temperatures, a critical <br />aspect of targeting was to determine fall velocity as a <br />function of particle habit and size. Accurate targeting <br />required a reasonable estimate of ice particle growth <br />rates and fall velocities. <br />The parameterization developed for targeting during <br />SCPP operations used the linear growth rates for the <br />basal (c) and planar (a) crystal axes specified by mea- <br />surements of Ryan et al. (1976). They found crystal <br />axial growth rates to be maximum along the a-axis at <br />-I70C and maximum along the c-axis at -60C. A <br />distinct minimum in growth rate along both axes oc- <br />curred at -lOoe. Axial growth rates measured by them <br />were incorporated in the targeting calculations. The <br />measured growth rates extend through the first few <br />minutes of crystal growth. However, measurements of <br />Fukuta and Wang (1984) extend up to 20 min. Fukuta <br />and Wang's data suggest that the linear growth rates <br />reported by Ryan et at apply at times as long as 20 <br />min. Crystal habits were determined on the basis of <br />temperature and crystal axial ratios. The algorithm is <br />discussed in following sections. <br /> <br />2) CLOUD LIQUID WATER AND RIMING <br /> <br />Th{: importance of accurately specifying the liquid <br />water content of a cloud when calculating particle tra- <br />jectories during seeding operations has been demon- <br />strated by King (1984). He showed, using model cal- <br />culations within stratiform clouds, that the trajectories <br />of cloud and precipitation particles growing by riming <br />depend primarily on liquid water content, and not on <br />the precise details of cloud temperature, crystalline <br />shape, graupel shape or size. Unfortunately, in natural <br />clouds, the liquid water content and distribution of <br />liquid are unknown and generally variable in time. <br />During SCPP, two measurements ofliquid water con- <br />tent were available on a real time basis, the first from <br />aircraft and the second from a ground-based radiome- <br />ter. The relationship between liquid water depth mea- <br />sured by the radiometer and actual cloud liquid water <br />content depends on the depth and distribution of liq- <br />uid-bearing cloud layers. A climatological analysis of <br />SCPP radiometric measurements by Heggli (1986) <br />suggested that liquid was confined primarily to the <br />lowest 1-2 km layer of cloud. An approximation of <br />the average cloud liquid water content was obtained <br />operationally by assuming that the liquid water was <br />distributed uniformly over a kilometer-deep layer <br />above the radiometer. The average liquid water content <br />of the cloud (g m-3) would then be numerically equal <br />to the liquid water depth measured by the radiometer <br />(millimeters). <br />Aircraft measurements ofliquid water content were <br />made at the minimum obstruction clearance altitude <br />(MOCA) on a descent westward from the crestline to <br />approximately the melting level. Measurements were <br />
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