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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:35:54 PM
Creation date
4/15/2008 2:39:22 PM
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Weather Modification
Project Name
Sierra Cooperative Pilot Project
Title
A Comparison of Seeded and Nonseeded Orographic Cloud Simulations with and Explicit Cloud Model
Prepared By
Michael P. Meyers, Paul J. DeMott and William R. Cotton
Date
4/4/1995
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />838 <br /> <br />JOURNAL OF APPLIED' METEOROLOGY <br /> <br />VOLUME 34 <br /> <br />step. Calculation of F scav follows Young ( 1974a) for <br />the parcel model simulations. It thus depends in time <br />on the net collection kernel for Brownian, phoretic, <br />and aerodynamic transport of aerosol to cloud droplets. <br /><;:alculation of F scav in RAMS follows the simplification <br />of Young's equations given by Cotton et al. ( 1986). <br />This equation was taken to be valid for S; > 1.058 and <br />for T < 269.2 K. <br />For all of the equations, extension below about <br />253 K implies extrapolation from experimental results, <br />although values appear physically reasonable to as low <br />as 248 K. In all cases as well, F is not allowed to exceed <br />a maximum of 1.0. Extraordinary circumstances would <br />be required to achieve such a result. <br /> <br />b. Initialization of seeded aerosol concentrations <br /> <br />For initializing seeded aerosol mass and concentra- <br />tion in the numerical simulations, the published aerosol <br />mass release rates, aircraft speed, and horizontal and <br />vertical dispersion rates were combined with the num- <br />bers of particles per gram released based on the PSD <br />to determine the initial seeded volume aerosol con- <br />centration. This volume concentration was determined <br />at a time of 6 min after seeding was initiated. At this <br />time, about two-thirds of a 37-km seeding line had <br />been dispensed, and the initial plume would have filled <br />more than 10% of a 1000-m horizontal and 100-m <br />vertical grid box used in the 3D numerical simulations <br />with RAMS. In the seeding simulation, the entire grid <br />was filled with the nuclei concentration thus deter- <br />mined. Therefore, the cloud was overseeded by several <br />times from a total mass standpoint. This method was <br />considered to be a reasonable compromise to overcome <br />the current inability to accurately represent dispersion <br />of seeded mass and concentrations at subgrid scales in <br />mesoscale models. To accurately predict plume con- <br />centrations in the model immediately after seeding <br />would have required excessively overseeding a model <br />grid volume and thus greatly overestimating seeding <br />effects on cloud microphysics and precipitation. Con- <br />versely, assuming the initial concentrations to be <br />equivalent to those present at the time after the grid <br />volumes were filled (30-40 min) would have greatly <br />underestimated subsequent plume concentrations and <br />missed much of the ice formation occurring by contact- <br />freezing nucleation after the onset of seeding. <br />The published ice nucleus aerosol mass generation <br />rate was 0.4 g km-'. The speed of the cloud seeding <br />aircraft was 80 m S-I. Horizontal and vertical disper- <br />sion rates were estimated as 1.0 and 0.1 m s -1, re- <br />spectively. Integrating the PSDs shown in Fig. 2 gives <br />I X 10 15 and 4 X 10 15 particles per gram nucleant <br />generated, respectively, for the "ground" and "air- <br />borne" cases. Using all of the above values, initial <br />seeded concentrations at 6 min after release were de- <br />termined as 40 000 llnd 160000 L -I, respectively, for <br />the "ground" and .,irborne" :>C;;Ds. The latter result <br />was used for RAMS simulauons. <br /> <br />c. Parameterization tests <br /> <br />Preliminary to the mesoscale model simulations, <br />some simulations were done with a microphysical par- <br />cel model. The purposes of this exercise were to in- <br />vestigate the importance of knowledge of the artificially <br />generated aerosol size distribution, to demonstrate the <br />validity of the ice nucleation parameterizations, and <br />to determine the expected relative importance of the <br />different ice formation processes for conditions relevant <br />to the 18 December 1986 case study. The parcel model <br />used was a modified version of the model described by <br />Rokicki and Young (1978); a derivative of the 2D <br />microphysical model described in detail by Young <br />( 197 4b ). The version employed is very nearly the same <br />as used and described by Stith et al. ( 1994), Rogers et <br />al. ( 1994), and DeMott ( 1994) for various investiga- <br />tions of ice initiation due to natural and man-made <br />aerosols. In broad terms, the model simulates the three <br />major processes of nucleation, diffusion, and collection <br />that are key to precipitation formation. Precipitation <br />does not occur from the parcel, and, except for a spec- <br />ification of vertical motion, cloud dynamics is not con- <br />sidered. <br />For the parcel model simulations, artificial ice ini- <br />tiation by deposition, condensation-freezing, contact- <br />freezing, and immersion-freezing nucleation followed <br />either the detailed results as a function of AgI-AgCI <br />particle size summarized by DeMott ( 1994) or the pa- <br />rameterizations given in Eqs. (3.2)-(3.5). The Fscav <br />realized in any time step was determined by the col- <br />lection rates of ice nuclei by cloud droplets due to the <br />combined effects of Brownian collection, thermopho- <br />resis, diffusiophoresis, and aerodynamic capture. Cal- <br />culations of collection rates followed the equations <br />from Young (1974a) and the specification of the par- <br />ticle size distribution. Freezing occurred at the droplet <br />temperature that is explicitly calculated in the model. <br />In the simulations presented, a constant updraft was <br />imposed on a seeded cloud parcel since we were only <br />interested in demonstrating results to be expected in <br />the mesoscale simulations. A representative 0.2 m S-1 <br />updraft was chosen for a parcel initialized 0.5% super- <br />saturated with respect to water at -6.3 oC and 700 mb. <br />CCN coefficients were adjusted to cause 130 cm-3 <br />droplets to form initially, consistent with observations. <br />Fifteen discrete size bins were used to specify each of <br />the two different particle size distributions used. <br />Figure 3 shows parcel thermodynamic and micro- <br />physical evolution with time, as well as the cumulative <br />production of ice crystal concentrations by the four <br />nucleation mechanisms quantified for three simula- <br />tions. Two simulations demonstrate the effect of the <br />presumed aerosol size distribution on ice formation in <br />the parcel model. Dashed curves are for the presumed <br />aircraft generator particle size distribution. The dash- <br />dot curves presume the size distribution given by <br />DeMott et al. (1983) for a ground-based generator. <br /> <br />
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