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Yampa: <br />A reasonable connection with the SOI and the AMO exists, however, it is less <br />firm than the basins listed immediately above. To potentially improve any outlook would <br />be to cross check the SOI and the <br />Plateau Creek: <br />For this basin, a very robust (relatively speaking) relationship exists with the <br />ENSO (preferably the SOI) and the 2-year average for peak runoff in Plateau Creek. <br />Some connection exists with the AMO as well and cross index connection might be <br />examined to see if improved relationships exist. <br />Table 12. Summary of Apr.-Sept. Multi (2-year) Naturalized Streamflow/HCI Relationships for the <br />Colorado/Gunnison/Yampa-White basins (‘X’ indicates a relatively strong relationship and ’O’ <br />indicates a relatively weak relationship). <br />PDOMEISOINino 3.4 NAOAMO <br />Upper Colo. <br />O <br />Middle Colo. O <br />Eagle <br />OO <br />Roaring Fork OO <br />Gunnison <br />OO <br />UncompaghreOO <br />White <br />Yampa <br />Runoff Timing: <br />An attempt was made to determine what impacts, if any did the HCI potentially <br />have on the timing of the runoff in the basin. For the Colorado River basin, the analysis <br />was confined to the timing of what is commonly called ‘Combined Reservoir <br />Operations’. This operation is tied to the inflows on four main reservoirs, Green <br />Mountain Reservoir on the Blue River branch of the Upper Colorado, Williams Fork <br />Reservoir on the Fraser River branch of the Upper Colorado, Wolford Reservoir on the <br />Muddy Creek branch of the Upper Colorado and Rudei Reservoir on the Roaring Fork <br />River. The primary question was centered around whether there was any ‘predicability’ <br />about the date which a combined 5000 cfs flows into these reservoirs. <br />In summary, there was not a significant tie-in between the date of sustained 5000 <br />cfs and the HCI values that could be reasonably used for planning purposes. It should be <br />noted that the data sample points are limited to only 22 points. This is because of two <br />factors 1) there are only 31 years which detailed naturalized flows are available in the <br />basin available from the State (it should be noted that the State is working on expanding <br />this dataset but, it is time-consuming). <br />40 <br />