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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />uJJ2S9 <br /> <br />17) Begin next year at step 1. <br /> <br />SPECIFIC MODELING PROCEDURES <br /> <br />The specific steps in each line above will be described (all <br />values are in 1000 acre-feet units): <br /> <br />Upper Basin Runoff, Use, and Shortage <br /> <br />Step 1. The natural runoff above Glen Canyon Dam is read from the <br />EZ file HYDRO.DAT, column 2 labeled NAT (or stochastic <br />HYDR058.DAT). The scheduled Upper Basin use is read from file <br />CONUSE.DAT, column 2, labeled U.BASIN. <br /> <br />Step 2. Compute the Upper Basin shortage using the formula <br />ubshort=(ushrt1+LOG(ubcu-ubcuO+1)^1.5*LOG(ushrt1+1)^1.5) where <br />ushrt1 is read from the HYDRO.DAT file, column 3, labeled <br />U.SHORT. ubcu is the scheduled use. ubcuO is a base scheduled <br />use and is held constant. LOG is the natural log function. The <br />idea of this is to use CRSS to compute a shortage for that <br />constant use for each of the hydrology runoffs and then let EZ <br />compute new shortages for any other use and runoff combination. <br />Optionally, the Upper Basin shortage can be read from file <br />USHORT.DAT that contains actual CRSS shortages for that use and <br />hydrology. <br /> <br />step 3. Deduct the shorted Upper Basin use from the natural <br />runoff. <br /> <br />Upper Reservoir Operations: <br /> <br />Step 4. The Upper Reservoir capacity is the sum of Taylor Park, <br />Blue Mesa, Morrow Point, Crystal, Fontenelle, Duchesne River, <br />Flaming Gorge, and Navajo reservoir capacities. The initial <br />Upper reservoir storage change is computed using the formula <br />duc=-1450+.1647*pin where pin is the depleted runoff computed <br />above. This storage change is then limited to a target storage <br />based on the elevation of Lake Powell. If Powell is above <br />turbine overload elevation 3690 then the maximum contents of the <br />Upper reservoir is set to the maximum and an additional 11 kaf is <br />added to raise Morrow Point and Crystal above their target <br />maximum to live capacity (live capacity is greater than maximum <br />target contents). <br /> <br />If Powell elevation is between turbine overload and rated power <br />head (3570 to 3690 ft) then Flaming Gorge capacity is broken out <br />and tested. The Flaming Gorge component of the Upper reservoir <br />is set to the greater of its own rated power head or a computed <br />percentage of its maximum contents. This percentage is the ratio <br />of current to live capacity of the total Upper Basin. The Blue <br />Mesa and Navajo component are set to live capacity minus target <br /> <br />5 <br />