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<br /> <br />74 <br /> <br /> <br />Table 6.3.--Initial reservoir elevations for routing the ULDRS <br />flood through Lake Mead and Lake Powell <br /> <br /> ULDRS Reservoir <br /> st:arting elevation <br />Lake date (feet) <br />Powell May 15 3666.1 <br /> June 15 3698.6 <br /> July 15 3699.8 <br /> August 15 3699.1 <br />Mead May 15 1210.1 <br /> June 15 1211. 3 <br /> July 15 1219.0 <br /> August 15 1217.5 <br /> <br />The most critical combination of ULDRS events with the snowmelt <br />flood was determined from reservoir routings. Many possible <br />combinations were tried in order to arrive at the one which produced <br />the highest reservoir elevation. The FHAR computer model was used <br />to compute the flood hydrographs beginning the fifteenth day of May, <br />June, July, and August for each storm combination. The following <br />combinations of storm centerings were evaluated: (1) San Juan <br />followed by Cedar Mountain, (2) San Juan followed by Boulder, <br />(3) Boulder followed by San Juan, and (4) Cedar Mountain followed by <br />San Juan. The Boulder and Cedar Mountain storm centerings were not <br />examined in combination because their close proximity precluded them <br />from occurring within 7 days of each other with magnitudes <br />approaching ULDRS events. <br /> <br />The full ULDRS events, which could occur during the August through <br />October time period, were adjusted downward to account for seasonal <br />variations and separation time between storms. Adjustments were <br />made for storms separated by 1, 3, 5, and 7 days. The first storm <br />in the sequence always had the full ULDRS magnitude less the <br />applicable seasonal adjustment, and the second storm was adjusted <br />for both seasonal variation and days between storms. Individual <br />ULDRS events were also centered over the basin to determine the <br />flows at each dam. The numerous combinations of storm centers, <br />storm separation times, and seasonal variations in rainfall <br />magnitudes produced 76 possible flood events for evaluation and <br />comparison. <br /> <br />The San Juan storm centering followed by the Boulder storm produced <br />the most critical flood condition at Glen Canyon Dam. Table 6.4 <br />shows the results of this flood analysis. The maximum inflow, <br />outflow, and reservoir elevation are presented for several storm <br />separation intervals and starting dates. The most critical <br />conditions based on the highest reservoir elevations are highlighted <br />and represent the probable maximum floods for the dam. Tables 6.5 <br />through 6.8 list the PMF hydrograph ordinates for each of the <br />floods, and Figures 6.1 through 6.4 show the corresponding <br />hydrographs. <br />