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<br />~ .
<br />
<br />, TABLE A - ECONOMIC AND POPULATION GROWTH RATES
<br />
<br /> A~~,~
<br /> 1I......f. ......
<br /> .Ud r'>""ltrou
<br /> POW,It ""u GN' oleN'
<br /> Po,w."". "f,.,~jo. ,"upo'. ,.,-".",.
<br /> 119M) (1961-M) (1968) /1961~}
<br />C"".ffy (",.11;.,.) (%~,..."'" (VS ./011.,/ f<N ,-,..../
<br />People's Republic
<br />of China. 73. 1.5 90 ..3
<br />India _ 5H 2.5 100 I..
<br />USSR .. l38 1.3 1,100 5.8
<br />United States 201 " 3980 3.'
<br />Pakistan 123 1.6 100 3.1
<br />Indonesia 113 " 100 0.8
<br />Ja~n 101 1.0 1.190 9.9
<br />Brazil 88 3.. 150 '"
<br />Nigeria 61 1.' 70 -0.3
<br />Fnku\ Republic
<br />of Germany 60 I.. 1,970 3.'
<br />
<br />. Th< l."",n..tional Bank for .rc;o....ru.c_n and IHwdopmcnl quali6n ;t> ..lim.orr.
<br />fDt Chim and .be USSR .lth thr followin, ,1l".meIU: "unm..1a of Cl'<'l' p:'
<br />c..pi.. ....I ;1$ /I'o.,t, nt, hay. .. ..id<- In.nIPo at error m.oinly beau... of u..
<br />problem. in de",'l"'" tht GNP or f.o,,<>, .<JOt frem ..... ......,<ri.al produn .nd in
<br />"'Mrrricg .he GNP ...urn.", 'nlO US d..lI.n." United N.ri",... ntlm.atN .... it!
<br />goncf.lalr"",,",.n, ..ir.h thooe 01 tbe IBRD.
<br />p'.n: W..../J &.n.t A.tI~ (W..hin,lOn,OC: lm........io....1 Rank f.,.,. R~t1'1.lction
<br />.nd Oo-vdol'fl\<"n., )910).
<br />
<br />LEGEND
<br />
<br />population (total number of persons)
<br />
<br />industrial output per capita (dollar
<br />equivalent per person per year)
<br />
<br />food per capita (kilogram-grain
<br />equivalent per person per year)
<br />
<br />..'TII" pollution (multiple of 1970 level)
<br />
<br />---
<br />
<br />-.-.-
<br />
<br />nonrenewable resources (fraction of
<br />1900 reserves remai ni n9)
<br />crude birth rate (births per
<br />1000 persons per year)
<br />crude death rate (deaths per
<br />1000 persons per year)
<br />
<br />B
<br />
<br />o
<br />
<br />5
<br />
<br />services per capita (dollar equiva-
<br />lent per person per year)
<br />
<br />I
<br />
<br />-l
<br />
<br />.
<br />
<br />1706
<br />
<br />TABLE B _ EXTRAPOLATED GNP FOR THE YEAR 2000
<br />
<br />c.....".,.
<br />
<br />GNP pn ~,.,.
<br />(i.. US JoJJ.r'"J
<br />
<br />Pn;lpk',
<br />Indi.ll
<br />USSR
<br />
<br />100
<br />140
<br />6.330
<br />11,000
<br />150
<br />130
<br />23,200
<br />'40
<br />60
<br />5,850
<br />
<br />R<:public of Chin.ll
<br />
<br />Unit<:dSt.lllell___
<br />P.lIkisun
<br />Indon<:si.ll
<br />'.lIp.an
<br />Buzil ___
<br />Nig<:ria _
<br />FM<:r.al R<:public of Gc-nruny
<br />
<br />. Basedoath<I<M8dolb, .."hllOallowa"""folinl\ol>OA.
<br />
<br />Graph Three - WORLD MODEL STANDARD RUN
<br />
<br />---------------------------,
<br />
<br />
<br />o
<br />
<br />.
<br />
<br />.
<br />
<br />;,,,, J
<br />....... ...""reo>. \
<br />. ..
<br />..
<br />, ......
<br />...
<br />. .
<br />+......... ....\::..
<br />.
<br />. .
<br />.
<br />.
<br />.
<br />
<br />.
<br />
<br />.
<br />
<br />
<br />.
<br />."
<br />
<br />.
<br />.
<br /><
<br />
<br />.
<br />.
<br />"
<br />
<br />The "S1enda,d'- world mod" 'un euumea no maio' cl'leno,ln th. physlc.I,
<br />economic, Of social fel.lionsflip' IfI.1 fl.ye hiSlOflcally "oyern~ ''''' de-
<br />YIIOPmfftll 01 Ihe wOlld syst.m. All YI,I.DIIS plotted "I" tol/ow hJs/orical
<br />"alul' I,om 1110O to 1970. Food_ indus,,111 output, and pOP/.Ilatlon ll"ow
<br />elCponemJally uMit rhe "pidly diminishing rlsource basllo,ces I slowdown
<br />/n/ndusIrJa/ll',ow/h. BKause of n.tural dellys In the ,yallm, bolh pOpu.-
<br />I.t,on and pOllul,on conlmue 10 inerlua lot somtt timl Iftlt' IIlIt ~ak 01
<br />Ifldus/rillllltiOfl. PoP/.lI.lion growlh is tlnl/ly hIlled by . rlsl In Ihl d'.th
<br />,al. due 10 dac,eu.,d lood Ind medicII u/'Vlc.s_
<br />
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