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<br />." <br /> <br />times the maximum savings for toilets, showers, and appliances (dish- <br />washers, washing machines, and faucets). <br /> <br />The procedure provides reasonable estimates of the water savings <br /> <br />brought about by technological improvements of water-using devices. <br /> <br /> <br />More precise calculations of savings result from applying the use <br /> <br />factor model on a district by district basis. Conservation savings to <br /> <br />account for natural replacement of water-using devices will be dis- <br /> <br />cussed in association with the conservation analyses to be conducted in <br /> <br />Task 4 of the EIS. <br /> <br />During the technical review of Task 2, the methodology employed in <br /> <br /> <br />the estimation of demand reductions due to metering of previously un- <br /> <br /> <br />metered houses was examined. In the original analysis, flat rate sin- <br /> <br />gle-family houses that convert to metered houses were treated as "new" <br /> <br />houses with respect to the presence of more efficient fixtures and ap- <br /> <br />pliances. Natural replacement of old, less efficient fixtures and <br /> <br /> <br />appliances will actually occur at the same rate as for other existing <br /> <br /> <br />homes, and this rate of replacement is lower than for "new" homes. <br /> <br />Correcting for this methodological error yields higher demands and, <br /> <br />therefore, reduces the estimated reduction in demand due to metering. <br /> <br />Another methodological error that was isolated involves the use of <br />a marginal price of water of $0.00 for districts which provided only <br />flat rate service in 1980. In the original analysis, as new (metered) <br />houses were built and flat rate houses were converted to metered hous- <br />es, the marginal price remained at $0.00 for these districts. To cor- <br />rect this situation, the average EIS demand area marginal price, <br />($1. 17/1, 000 gallons) was used for these distric ts. This correction <br />results in slightly lower demands for converted houses. The actual <br />effects of these modifications will be presented in the final Task 2 <br />report. <br /> <br />22 <br />