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<br />An increasing proportion of the state's requirements for water over the <br />projection period will occur in rhis region (Table 4-9). In 1965, less <br />than eight percent of the total water withdrawn in Kansas was in this <br />region. By the turn of the century the percentage may increase to II <br />percent and by the end of the forecast period could exceed 14 percent. <br />Irrigation, now in the early stages of development, is expected to <br />expand rather rapidly in this region. By the end of the forecast period <br />irrigation may account for 69 percent of the water requirement in the <br />region. Water use by people and manufacturing will constitute the next <br />largesr water use in this region. The total water requirement is <br />expected to increase from 250,600 acre-feet to 2.3 million acre-feet <br />by the year 2020--almcst a tenfold increase. <br /> <br />Region 5 <br /> <br />Region 5 is composed of nine counties in south-central Kansas generally <br />west of Wichita and Hutchinson. The area is primarily an agricultural <br />region special izing in large-scale crop farming and cattle raising <br />operations. This region had a population of 83,600 people in 1965. <br />Great Bend, the largest city, has a greater population than the combined <br />population of the next three largest cities--Pratt, Larned, and <br />Hoisington. <br /> <br />The total population of the region has been stable since 1940; however, <br />the population of all counties except Barton and Pratt has decreased <br />over the period. There has been a widespread drop in rural population <br />and a subsequent growth in the region's four largest cities. Existing <br />industry is geared to agriculture, machinery, printing and publ ishing, <br />and natural resource extraction and processing. Natural resources <br />include oil, natural gas, he] ium, magnesium, halide brines, clays, <br />sands and gravels, gypsum, and salt. Nearly two-thirds of the region <br />is in cropland which produces wheat, sorghums, and legumes. Average <br />farm size has increased from about 500 acres in 1940 to over 860 <br />acres in 1964. <br /> <br />The level of economic activities forecast in Region 5 reflects <br />characteristics which were present in the immediate past. The <br />region's population is expected to grow at a rate much lower than <br />the state as a whole. The 1965 population of 83,600 is expected to <br />increase to 104,600 by the turn of the century and further increase <br />to 149,600 persons by the end of the forecast period. This is an <br />increase of 180 percent, whereas the state population is expected to <br />increase by 210 percent. The three larger cities in the region (Great <br />Bend, Larned, and Prat.t) affect the economic trends. Several of the <br />rural counties show I ittle or no growth prior to the turn of the century. <br /> <br />The forecast of agricultural output shows an increase from $117 <br />mill ion in 1965 to $386 mill ion by the end of the forecast period. <br />Livestock should account for nearly 56 percent of the agricultural <br />output by year 2020. Agricultural employment wil I continue to decl ine <br />throughout the projection period. Manufacturing is influenced by <br /> <br />42. <br />