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youngest of the five exclosures are developing well and reaching toward the goals, but the growth is <br />not yet there. Photographic monitoring is provided for the other three exclosures. <br />In 2010 it was found that Exclosures 1 and 2 continued to show significant gains, but seem to <br />be developing in different directions. New tree seedlings are still found, as would be expected, and <br />this is especially true in Exclosure 1. Exclosure 1 is continuing to shift strongly toward a willow <br />dominance that is probably reducing the growth rates of the cottonwood. Nevertheless, cottonwood <br />still makes significant gains where the local microenvironment is more suited to cottonwood. In <br />wetter soils though willow seems to be winning the competition battle. <br />In Exclosure 2 where willow forms a far less dominant cover and density, cottonwood <br />continues to make strong gains, but once again only in the somewhat drier portion of the exclosure. <br />Here the main competitor with both willow and cottonwood are herbaceous wetland plants that <br />dominate the western edge and the northwestern corner of the exclosure. Elsewhere, cottonwood and <br />willow made significant gains in height, but density did not change very much, if any. <br />The 2010 Growing Season: The winter of 2009/2010 was unusual due to the effects from a fairly <br />strong El Nino cycle in the equatorial Pacific. Early winter was unusually wet with prodigious <br />snowfall in October and November. In Denver, nearly half of the annual snowfall had been received <br />by December when winter actually began. This is fairly typical of El Nino years. <br />However, the usual January thaw did not come in 2010 with only moderate warmth and <br />continued occasional snows that maintained the soil moisture that had accumulated earlier in the <br />autumn and winter. Thus spring began with a surplus of soil moisture that resulted in rapid greening <br />of the prairies with strong growth of native grasses as well as winter wheat crops. <br />By mid-2010 the El Nino rapidly declined to a neutral condition and then quickly shifted into <br />a La Nina pattern and its usual decline in precipitation east of the mountains. Moisture increased <br />some in the late summer but a strong monsoon never actually developed and autumn began with a <br />moisture deficit that continued well into December. In contrast to 2009, the October to mid- <br />December period resulted in only about 1.5" of snowfall in Denver for the entire period and <br />practically no rain. This site received a bit more snow and rain during this period, but it was still <br />essentially a complete reversal of the same period in 2009. This is typical of La Nina years where it <br />is quite dry and warm east of the mountains but the mountains receive prodigious if not record <br />snowfalls. By mid-December the snow pack in the mountains was well above 100% of normal and <br />even reached nearly 150% in some drainage basins. Meanwhile the east side of the mountains <br />plunged into drought conditions. <br />Not all is lost, however, as it is also typical of La Nina years that late winter and spring <br />moisture is abundant east of the mountains, sometimes with record breaking snow storms. At the <br />time of this writing (mid-December), however, long range models are not predicting a significant <br />change in this pattern until perhaps the second half of January. So long as the La Nina continues to <br />2010 Annual Report Coal Creek Wetland Mitigation Permit DA 198811488 Page 2