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Projections of water level changes in the coal were made utilizing <br />common gr~~und water equations and the hydraulic properties <br />determined from previous analyses and published reports. The results <br />of these calculations indicate that the potential impact to the one well <br />potentially completed in the coal seam may range from 0 to 15 feet. <br />For wells not completed in the coal seam there is no significant water <br />level declinE: anticipated from the mine operations due to the lack of <br />hydrologic connection between the overlying Vermejo units and the <br />Ocean WavE~ coal seam. Further, the magnitude of potential impact <br />will decrease at distance from the mine area as illustrated in <br />Appendices 1 and 2. Due to the low permeabilities and the interbedded <br />nature of the Vermejo formation, water level impacts are projected to <br />not propagate far from the mine operations. The low permeability acts <br />to isolate water level changes to areas close to the mine. <br />The nearby water supply wells including residential wells have low <br />reported yiE~lds. The Northfield monitoring wells also have low <br />reported yiE~lds and the construction of a residential well recently <br />confirms lovv yields in the area. The nearby wells are completed in <br />shallower st:ratigraphic intervals within the Vermejo formation and <br />based on the geology and the completion interval information available <br />pertaining to the wells are very likely hydraulically isolated from the <br />Ocean Wave coal seam. The permeabilities of the Vermejo sediments <br />including the coal seam are very low. Based on information available <br />pertaining to the on-site monitoring well, geologic logs .and geophysical <br />logs there i<.~ little vertical seepage in this unit. The results of <br />drawdown calculations based on the hydrologic properties of the <br />Vermejo including the coal seam unit, there are no significant water <br />level changes projected in the intervals above and below the coal. <br />It is recognized that subsidence of the mine will result in localized <br />fracturing abbove the mine cavity. The rubble zone likely to form above <br />the mine is projected to be less than 100 feet and is projected to be <br />isolated to the area within the angle of draw. In order to determine the <br />potential for impacts to wells in and near the rubble zone, a drawdown <br />analysis anti well inventory were completed for wells in and near the <br />rubble zone. For the purposes of the analysis, it was conservatively <br />estimated that the rubble zone would extend 100 feet above the mine. <br />Projected water level drawdowns, as detailed in Appendices 1 and 2, <br />indicated that water level impacts are not expected to extend more <br />than 1000 feet beyond the angle of draw within the interval 100 feet <br />above the coal. There are no wells completed in either the rubble zone <br />or within th~~ 1000-foot drawdown radius within the stratigraphic <br />interval of the rubble zone. Accordingly, impacts to wells as a result of <br />fracturing from subsidence are not expected. <br />2.04-20 Revised 11/05/07 <br />