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<br />management strategies. Serious damage to the trees will have already occurred. Leaf and <br />branch death occurs in response to root dieback, and it can occur in just a few weeks. <br />Cottonwood trees should not be exposed to hydrologic conditions beyond their ability to <br />survive. If by predicting only the most limited and unrealistic water table changes that <br />could be produced by pit dewatering, conditions beyond the tolerance of cottonwoods <br />could be rapidly created, and trees could be subjected to water stresses causing their <br />dieback or death. It is essential that ground water monitoring.wells occur in the vicinity of <br />all cottonwoods to measure water table depth every few days during the summer. It must <br />be recognized that water table under cottonwoods should not be dropped any lower than <br />that which has naturally occurred in late summer as controlled by low river flows. <br />In Mr. Golfer's report he suggested that if trees exhibit water stress (leaf yellowing and <br />death) surface water (irrigation) could be applied to recharge soil water and relieve the <br />stress. This concept is from my reseazch along the South Platte River. However, Mr. <br />Golfer has only represented '/: of this story from the report I sent to him. First, by the time <br />tree leaves are yellowing, it's too late to save them and their branches. Second, irrigation <br />works fine in gravel soils where water can percolate down through the root zone, but we <br />found that 'vrigation was only partially effective in finer-textured soils, and I suspect it <br />would be ineffective in the much finer-textured neaz surface soils that occur in the area of <br />the proposed Milner gravel pit. Thus, irrigation should not be accepted as a fail-safe <br />method because if applied either once visible impacts are observed or in areas with fine- <br />textured surface soils, it will be ineffective. <br />To understand the potential effects of the proposed gravel mining and dewatering, I <br />suggest that a set of analyses must be completed. First, the groundwater modeling effort <br />is necessary to adequately identify potential areas where severe water table declines are <br />likely to occur. The model can identify these areas spatially, and identify whether water <br />tables will wet surface soils, and how deep water tables will be in summer. Second, more <br />information on the permeability of the floodplain soils are necessary to determine whether <br />surface application of irrigation water could be an effective mitigation measure for <br />providing water to cottonwood root systems. Third, an analysis should identify the <br />cur.cnt condition of trees :n the study area.~f cottomvoods are akeadv in peer condition. <br />they could be more susceptible to water stress than could be predicted from previous <br />studies. This could be done with an analysis of tree rings, and canopy condition. Fourth. <br />if you should decide to permit this project, much better post implementation monitoring, <br />and mitigation measures aze necessary. Cottonwood trees naturally dry out during hot <br />days and recover this water at night. We can measure this nightly recovery, as the pre- <br />dawn water potential (measures of tree sap pressure in the hours just before dawn). If <br />diurnal tree recovery diminishes when water tables change, the trees aze in imminent <br />danger of what scientists call uncontrolled cavitation, which will led to rapid root, leaf and <br />branch death in a matter of days. None of these analyses are complex, expensive, or <br />unduly burdensome. My students and I could assist the gravel mine company, or the <br />county in these tasks if requested. <br />