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<br />numerous counties (currently I'm working with Park, Lorimer and San Miguel County <br />governments), cities, private non-profit and for profit organizations including water <br />conservation and conservancy districts, gravel mine companies and ski azeas. I have been <br />called to testify as an expert at several U.S. Senate hearings, and in numerous federal, and <br />local court cases. At CSU I teach ripazian ecology, and train scientists in approaches for <br />analyzing complex land and water use changes, just like the Milner gravel mine project. <br />I have read the analysis of potential ground water level changes provided by consultants <br />for the mining company. I was surprised to find that they opinions aze well outside the <br />expected range of responses for the system in question. The reports suggest that although <br />pits will be excavated and dewatered, little or no water table decline under floodplain azeas <br />supporting cottonwoods would occur. This is quite simply unrealistic. Floodplains, <br />especially the Yampa River floodplain, contain thick gravel deposits (hence the site of the <br />gravel mine) that aze freely connected to the river. As river stage rises and falls, ground <br />water levels under the floodplain rise and fall indicating the connectivity of the substrate. <br />Pumping water from a lazge gravel pit will create a large cone of water table depression <br />under the floodplain that could extend considerable distances from the pit. This issue is <br />much too critical for guesses and opinions. <br />Scientists have appropriate tools for analyzing this problem and arriving at realistic <br />predictions. A simple ground water model of this site can be created for predicting the <br />range of water table responses to pit dewatering. I have used models of this sort for a <br />wide range of analyses, and a model can be developed by a ground water expert, such as <br />my colleague Dr. William Sanford in my department (Earth Resources) at Colorado State <br />University, in a matter of days. Model development requires topographic data, data on <br />the hydraulic conductivity of the substrate, and scenarios on the range of water elevations <br />to be produced in the pit. Most of this data exists today. The model will eliminate the <br />guesswork presented in the consultant reports and provide you with a more realistic <br />analysis of potential ground water changes. <br />The second issue is the sensitivity of cottonwoods to water table decline. The literature <br />used in a report by Kelly Coffer, "Response of cottonwoods (Popu/us spp.) to different <br />alluvial water table regimes" is based almost entirely on research by Dr. M;chael Scott and <br />myself. While Mr. Coffer represents some of our research results accurately, his review is <br />not complete and not objective. Cottonwoods are extremely sensitive to water available in <br />the upper portion of the soil profile as well as water table depth. In analyzing potential <br />hydrologic effects on cottonwoods both subjects must be analyzed. If dewatering will <br />keep water tables below the upper 3 feet of soil, these soils will not be wetted during <br />spring runoff as the river rises, and a water source that cottonwoods rely on during the <br />summer will be eliminated. When water tables fall even small distances (1-3 feet in gravel <br />soils) below their deepest roots the second major water supply for trees will be eliminated. <br />If either one of these water sources is eliminated trees will experience severe water stress. <br />By stress I mean dieback of leaves, branches and roots. When cottonwood leaves yellow, <br />indicating their impending death, it is too late to implement floodplain hydrologic <br />2 <br />