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<br />58 DESIGN AND CONSTRUCTION OF STORMWATER MANAGEMENT
<br />The extent to which risk analysis is employed in the design and
<br />selection of a drainage system depends on the nature and extent of the
<br />unwanted consequences. For simple situations, mere recognition of
<br />risks, uncertainty and possible adverse consequences may be sufficient
<br />to permit informed judgments. When public health and safety are at
<br />stake, a more rigorous risk analysis should be undertaken. In any event,
<br />however, the elements of risk analysis should be systematically con-
<br />sidered in formulating design parameters and guiding the decision-
<br />making process.
<br />B. Methodology
<br />The determination of risk-causing factors and unwanted conse-
<br />quences requires an assessment of the probability of occurrence and
<br />value of potential damage. Four determinations must be made. First,
<br />the critical events (i.e., the design events) must be defined and their
<br />magnitudes estimated. For drainage design, these events should be
<br />those that produce the unwanted consequences. Only the events that
<br />would cause damage need to be evaluated, and a probability of occur-
<br />rence determined for each.
<br />Next, the vulnerability of the exposure (the property that can be
<br />damaged) should be determined. The cottsequence, the third element,
<br />might range from public safety through inconvenience to severe dam-
<br />age. Finally, a value {such as dollars or time delays), for all exposed
<br />properties, is associated with each of the consequences.
<br />For a given design, the probability of flooding, expected damage and
<br />system cost can be assessed. The resulting estimated probability, dam-
<br />age and cost give one point on the risk analysis curve. Similar analyses
<br />for altemative designs provide additional points. Information provided
<br />by the curve then allows assessment of risk avoidance or acceptance.
<br />Alternative strategies should be pursued to the extent that their mar
<br />ginal costs of implementation are equal. This is to say that each addi-
<br />tional dollar spent on avoidance should lower the risk an equivalent
<br />amount. The selected design should be the one that balances avoidance
<br />and acceptance at the point of acceptable cost and risk.
<br />VIII, DESIGN ECONOMICS
<br />While elements of design are important, information on the costs
<br />associated with stormwater management is also necessary to judge the
<br />feasibility of a program. Costinformafion is important to planning
<br />agencies and policy makers because the information can be used in
<br />setting user fees and comparing alternative basin-wide drainage strat-
<br />egies. Cost information is important to land developers because
<br />the information is basic to the determination of the feasibility of
<br />development.
<br />DESIGN CONCEPTS AND MASTER PLANNING 59
<br />Costs for stormwater control are not simple to quantify because of
<br />the uncertainties involved. The simplest estimation method consists of
<br />a table of mean values, one for each type of development. Such tables
<br />are usually applicable only for the jurisdiction for which they were
<br />developed. The mean value is the cost per acre of development and is
<br />limited to certain cost categories such as construction costs. Costs far
<br />such items as engineering, land, and annual operation and maintenance
<br />would be estimated separately, possibly by using either mean Lost
<br />per acre values, or proportionality Constants multiplied by the cost of
<br />construction.
<br />There are empirical equations for predicting costs associated with
<br />other aspects of stormwater control such as erosion and sediment con-
<br />trol. Mean cost estimates tan be used for such erosion and sediment
<br />control methods as small sediment basins, interceptor berms, chemical
<br />rnntrol, and seeding with fertilizer and mulch (Schueler 1987).
<br />Recognizing that many drainage systems include some form of storm-
<br />water runoff control, such as detention, statistical relationships for pre-
<br />dicting the construction costs (per unit volume) of detention storage
<br />are useful. Similar methods are useful for estimating other costs in-
<br />cluding land costs, planning, design and supervision costs. Further
<br />discussion of economic evaluation is provided in Chayter 8.
<br />IX. DRAINAGE MASTER PLANNING
<br />Master planning is one of the most widely used and frequently mis-
<br />understood terms in drainage practice. There are (ew published defi-
<br />nitions, but a master plan typically addresses such subjects as charac-
<br />terization of site development, grading plan, peak rates of runoff and
<br />volumes for various return frequenries, locations, criteria and sizes of
<br />detention ponds and conveyances, measures to enhance mnoff quality,
<br />pertinent regulations and how the plan addresses them, and consist-
<br />ency with secondary objectives such as public recreation, aesthetics,
<br />protection of public safety, and groundwater recharge. ~ ~'
<br />In its simplest form, a master plan may only identify the essential
<br />elements, alignments, and functions of a drainage system. Even at this
<br />conceptual level, the master plan should be based upon estimates of
<br />peak and total discharges for some selected runoff recurrence inter-
<br />val(s). These recurrence intervals, in turn, should be selected based on
<br />local standards and risk assessment, as discussed earlier in this chapter.
<br />The next level of master planning should establish specific criteria
<br />consistent with acceptable risk, including design discharges and water
<br />surface profiles and elevations. Head losses at waterway crossings and
<br />other Constructions or obstructions should be recognized in develop-
<br />ment of the water surface profiles. This level of master planning defines
<br />the ultimate drainage system components desired and provides infor-
<br />mation for their preliminary design and cost estimation. More impor-
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