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• • i <br />~~ <br />58 DESIGN AND CONSTRUCTION OF STORMWATER MANAGEMENT <br />The extent to which risk analysis is employed in the design and <br />selection of a drainage system depends on the nature and extent of the <br />unwanted consequences. For simple situations, mere recognition of <br />risks, uncertainty and possible adverse consequences may be sufficient <br />to permit informed judgments. When public health and safety are at <br />stake, a more rigorous risk analysis should be undertaken. In any event, <br />however, the elements of risk analysis should be systematically con- <br />sidered in formulating design parameters and guiding the decision- <br />making process. <br />B. Methodology <br />The determination of risk-causing factors and unwanted conse- <br />quences requires an assessment of the probability of occurrence and <br />value of potential damage. Four determinations must be made. First, <br />the critical events (i.e., the design events) must be defined and their <br />magnitudes estimated. For drainage design, these events should be <br />those that produce the unwanted consequences. Only the events that <br />would cause damage need to be evaluated, and a probability of occur- <br />rence determined for each. <br />Next, the vulnerability of the exposure (the property that can be <br />damaged) should be determined. The cottsequence, the third element, <br />might range from public safety through inconvenience to severe dam- <br />age. Finally, a value {such as dollars or time delays), for all exposed <br />properties, is associated with each of the consequences. <br />For a given design, the probability of flooding, expected damage and <br />system cost can be assessed. The resulting estimated probability, dam- <br />age and cost give one point on the risk analysis curve. Similar analyses <br />for altemative designs provide additional points. Information provided <br />by the curve then allows assessment of risk avoidance or acceptance. <br />Alternative strategies should be pursued to the extent that their mar <br />ginal costs of implementation are equal. This is to say that each addi- <br />tional dollar spent on avoidance should lower the risk an equivalent <br />amount. The selected design should be the one that balances avoidance <br />and acceptance at the point of acceptable cost and risk. <br />VIII, DESIGN ECONOMICS <br />While elements of design are important, information on the costs <br />associated with stormwater management is also necessary to judge the <br />feasibility of a program. Costinformafion is important to planning <br />agencies and policy makers because the information can be used in <br />setting user fees and comparing alternative basin-wide drainage strat- <br />egies. Cost information is important to land developers because <br />the information is basic to the determination of the feasibility of <br />development. <br />DESIGN CONCEPTS AND MASTER PLANNING 59 <br />Costs for stormwater control are not simple to quantify because of <br />the uncertainties involved. The simplest estimation method consists of <br />a table of mean values, one for each type of development. Such tables <br />are usually applicable only for the jurisdiction for which they were <br />developed. The mean value is the cost per acre of development and is <br />limited to certain cost categories such as construction costs. Costs far <br />such items as engineering, land, and annual operation and maintenance <br />would be estimated separately, possibly by using either mean Lost <br />per acre values, or proportionality Constants multiplied by the cost of <br />construction. <br />There are empirical equations for predicting costs associated with <br />other aspects of stormwater control such as erosion and sediment con- <br />trol. Mean cost estimates tan be used for such erosion and sediment <br />control methods as small sediment basins, interceptor berms, chemical <br />rnntrol, and seeding with fertilizer and mulch (Schueler 1987). <br />Recognizing that many drainage systems include some form of storm- <br />water runoff control, such as detention, statistical relationships for pre- <br />dicting the construction costs (per unit volume) of detention storage <br />are useful. Similar methods are useful for estimating other costs in- <br />cluding land costs, planning, design and supervision costs. Further <br />discussion of economic evaluation is provided in Chayter 8. <br />IX. DRAINAGE MASTER PLANNING <br />Master planning is one of the most widely used and frequently mis- <br />understood terms in drainage practice. There are (ew published defi- <br />nitions, but a master plan typically addresses such subjects as charac- <br />terization of site development, grading plan, peak rates of runoff and <br />volumes for various return frequenries, locations, criteria and sizes of <br />detention ponds and conveyances, measures to enhance mnoff quality, <br />pertinent regulations and how the plan addresses them, and consist- <br />ency with secondary objectives such as public recreation, aesthetics, <br />protection of public safety, and groundwater recharge. ~ ~' <br />In its simplest form, a master plan may only identify the essential <br />elements, alignments, and functions of a drainage system. Even at this <br />conceptual level, the master plan should be based upon estimates of <br />peak and total discharges for some selected runoff recurrence inter- <br />val(s). These recurrence intervals, in turn, should be selected based on <br />local standards and risk assessment, as discussed earlier in this chapter. <br />The next level of master planning should establish specific criteria <br />consistent with acceptable risk, including design discharges and water <br />surface profiles and elevations. Head losses at waterway crossings and <br />other Constructions or obstructions should be recognized in develop- <br />ment of the water surface profiles. This level of master planning defines <br />the ultimate drainage system components desired and provides infor- <br />mation for their preliminary design and cost estimation. More impor- <br />