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<br />DIVISION OF MINERALS AND GEOLOGY <br />[7cp,mmvM of N,flurdl Resources <br />Li I t Sherman 5L, Koom 215 <br />f)rnvcr. Colorado 8U21ll <br />Phune~ 1 Ilril Nhb-}567 <br />rnx l}n a e+ ~ n nu, <br />To: David Beny <br />Larry Routten <br />Rny Romer <br />Governor <br />From: Tom Kaldenbach <br />Date: December 5, 1997 <br />Re: Trapper Mine, Permit C-81-010 <br />Vegetation Cover Standards <br />III IIIIIIIIIIIII III <br />STATE OF COLUlv1~v <br />MEMO <br />I~~~~ <br />DEPARTMENT OF <br />I~tATURAL <br />RESOURCES <br />fames S. LOChhead <br />6ecmrve Duea°r <br />Michael fl. Long <br />Drvisinn Director <br />I have finished researching the origin of the cover standards on the Trapper Mine. My search <br />included the permit (including the old Utah International permit), all files in our office, and all <br />archived files. <br />The most substantial pre-mining cover data that I found is in Table 4.4.4 on page 4-102h of the <br />existing permit. That table presents 7 years of premine herbaceous cover percentages for <br />Trapper's three reference azeas, range sites A, B, and C (see enclosed copy). <br />Trapper's letter dated 5/28/87 said the year-to-year variability of data in Table 4.4.4 was too <br />great to use for establishing a cover standard and therefore proposed aback-calculation of the <br />USLE as an indication of the minimum cover necessary for adequate erosion control (see <br />chronology below). The Division approved the back-calculated cover percentage in PR-02 on <br />6/9/87 . <br />It is possible that the data in Table 4.4.4, in reality, were not too variable to use for establishing a <br />cover standard. In that table, Trapper calculated that at the 90% confidence level the actual <br />annual mean cover could range as low as 14.85% on range site A, and 7.62% on range site B. <br />These percentages appeaz suspiciously low because they are far beyond the numerical range of <br />the 7 years of actual data. Although the statistical calculation itself may not be in error, the use <br />of this particular calculation in these circumstances may need review. <br />Confidence levels of 90% are required when comparing large data sets from undisturbed and <br />revegetated sites, but it seems a 90% confidence level may be inappropriate for a data set as <br />small as 7 elements because in such a small data set one extreme value can have an inordinate <br />effect on the calculated statistics. Page 12 of the Division's guidelines for compliance with <br />vegetation requirements (published October, 1988) calls for using a simple arithmetic mean <br />when a 7-year historic record is being used to establish a cover standard. <br />