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Memo to Boulay <br />Jumbo Mountain Landsliding <br />page 5 <br />episode at Muffler Rock and the April, 1997 passage of the MCC longwall <br />face beneath the scarp area, I have examined available aerial photographs <br />of Muffler Rock taken between 1983 and 1997. I concur with Dames & <br />Moores, and Dr. Richard Dunrud's opinion that the landform of Muffler <br />Rock is that of a repeatedly active landslide scarp. Photographs dating <br />from September, 1983 show the Muffler Rock scarp to be relatively stable, <br />with a veneer of grass and some relatively mature evergreen trees. A <br />portion of ground (approximately 1/4 acre) above and south of the main <br />scarp, appears to be surrounded by a minor head scarp, perhaps five feet <br />in maximum height. This settled block suggests that a wedge of ground <br />(soil and bedrock) immediately upslope from the main scarp was in the <br />process of failing in 1983. These artifacts, common to landslide masses, <br />suggest the Muffler Rock landslide had experienced an extended period of <br />relative stability, perhaps spanning several decades. However, a block <br />adjacent to the main scarp was in the process of moving downslope. <br />Aerial photographs dating from November, 1995, show increasing <br />instability of the soil horizon of Muffler Rock. Scree chutes have <br />developed between tree stands. The grass has been disrupted within these <br />chutes, which are now the locus for downslope sliding of small sized <br />rocks and debris. The scarp surrounding the settled block noted in the <br />1983 photographs appears to have increased in height. <br />July, 1996 photographs show the Muffler Rock main scarp becoming more <br />unstable. The upper third of the western portion of the main scarp is <br />losing its soil veneer and trees. The talus and debris at the foot of <br />the scree chutes is forming into lobes. <br />The final photograph examined, dated July, 1997, shows the majority of <br />the main Muffler Rock scarp to be devoid of trees. The scarp is now <br />largely debris and talus covered. Perhaps 80% of the trees have been <br />removed by the landslide. The western two thirds of the settled block <br />has settled and been decapitated by sliding laterally onto the main <br />scarp. The eastern third of the settled block now contains several head <br />scarps, suggesting that it is extending and sliding laterally towards the <br />main scarp. The debris pile at the toe of the main scarp has overrun <br />several acres of scrub oak. <br />In summary, the occurrence of subsidence may have accelerated the <br />occurrence of this most recent episode of instability of the Muffler Rock <br />scarp. In my opinion it would be impossible to definitively determine <br />whether subsidence as the single factor had triggered this latest episode <br />of mass wasting of Muffler Rock. <br />