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• Surface curvatures and strains approximately four times <br />larger than those typically experienced in Britain have been <br />measured in the U.S. (O'Rourke and Turner, 1981). This may <br />be due to rock mass characteristics which result in steeper <br />limit angles under U.S, conditions than those observed in <br />Britain. As a consequence, the subsidence profile under U. S. <br />conditions should generally be sharper and narrower than <br />that predicted using the SEH methods. However, using profile <br />functions would not necessarily provide a better estimate of <br />the subsidence profile unless site-specific experience in <br />selection of input parameters is available. <br />Using the SEH method to give an estimate of the form of <br />the subsidence profile indicates that, even under British <br />conditions, the subsidence trough would be relatively steep- <br />sided at the limit of an extraction area. For an overburden <br />depth of 1,000 feet, two thirds of the subsidence would <br />occur over a horizontal distance of approximately 300 feet, <br />~ohile 80 0 of the subsidence would occur within some 500 <br />feet. The subsidence trough is steeper where the overburden <br />is thinner and flatter where the overburden is thicker. In <br />the hiesaverde Formation, the subsidence trough can be <br />expected to be somewhat steeper than that predicted for <br />British conditions. <br />• British experience indicates that about 25 ~ of maximum <br />subsidence occurs above ribside for super-critical panel <br />widths. With steeper draw angles typical in the U. S., <br />somewhat less subsidence will probably occur over ribside. <br />In order to develop a contour map of subsidence, it has <br />been assumed that the general characteristics of the <br />subsidence profile developed using the SEH will be valid. <br />This is considered reasonable for a general evaluation of <br />subsidence where site-specific subsidence data are lacking, <br />particularly in view of the expected accuracy of the <br />subsidence predictions and the scale at which the subsidence <br />is plotted. The .assumption will not influence the maximum <br />subsidence calculated, but will affect the locations of the <br />subsidence contours around the perimeter of the extraction <br />zones. <br />A map showing the contours of predicted subsidence is <br />presented as Plate 19. While this prediction is considered <br />to be a realistic generalization, the limitations involved <br />in its development should be understood. <br />Subsidence contours have been developed based on what <br />are considered to be generally upper bound estimates of <br />subsidence magni=udes. These estimates are most realistic in <br />• - 35- <br />