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"D" Seam Longwall Subsidence Page 22 August 17, 1998 <br />• INDIVIDUAL LONGWALL PANEL TROUGH SUBSIDENCE PREDICTION <br />It was necessary to calculate vertical subsidence for <br />individual longwall mining panels before proceeding with prediction <br />of panel group subsidence. Ultimate subsidence toward the center <br />of a panel group will exceed subsidence for an individual panel <br />because of the planned crushing of the gateroad pillars after the <br />adjacent panels have been retreated. Ultimate subsidence at the <br />ends of an individual panel in a panel group will exceed subsidence <br />at the ends of the individual panel alone because the effective <br />width of the panel group exceeds the width of the individual panel. <br />The predictions of individual panel subsidence, necessary to <br />begin calculating panel group subsidence, were made using the NCB <br />(1975) "Subsidence Engineers' Handbook", which was developed from <br />187 case histories of longwall panel subsidence monitoring. The <br />Handbook states, <br />"Prediction of subsidence by the above method should be <br />correct to 10$ in the great majority of cases." <br />Individual panel subsidence prediction probably represents the most <br />accurate part of longwall subsidence prediction. However, the <br />prediction method is for independent isolated panels. Multi-panel <br />• layouts are simply treated as wider panels by the NCB method. The <br />use of single entry gateroads at the full mining height in Great <br />Britain eliminates the gateroad pillar subsidence effect. This <br />would be unrealistic for the planned panel groups because of the <br />8.5-fit high three-entry gateroads, the 50-ft and 30-ft wide <br />gateroad pillars and the variable "D" Seam longwall panel mining <br />heights indicated in Table 3. <br />Table 5 presents the predicted worst-case, maximum, vertical <br />ground surface subsidence and maximum horizontal tensile and <br />compressive strains for each of the individual planned longwall <br />panels shown on Figure 1. These initial worst-case subsidence <br />predictions were estimated assuming no additional subsidence from <br />previous and subsequent longwall mining of the adjacent panels. <br />Maximum single panel surface subsidence and strain predictions were <br />made for vertical panel cross sections in planes perpendicular to <br />the center of the panel starter room face, perpendicular to the <br />panel ribsides at the intersection of each depth contour shown on <br />Figure 1 and perpendicular to the center of the recovery room. <br />As indicated on Table 5, subsidence input data included <br />whether the subsidence prediction should be reduced because parts <br />of the overlying ground had not previously been subsided by room <br />and pillar mining in the underlying "C" Seam and "B" Seam. The NCB <br />(1975) "Subsidence Engineers' Handbook" states, <br />2z <br />