My WebLink
|
Help
|
About
|
Sign Out
Home
Browse
Search
2018-04-02_REVISION - M1977342
DRMS
>
Day Forward
>
Revision
>
Minerals
>
M1977342
>
2018-04-02_REVISION - M1977342
Metadata
Thumbnails
Annotations
Entry Properties
Last modified
1/18/2021 7:10:22 PM
Creation date
4/2/2018 1:40:51 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
DRMS Permit Index
Permit No
M1977342
IBM Index Class Name
Revision
Doc Date
4/2/2018
Doc Name
Adequacy Review Response
From
Climax Molybdenum
To
DRMS
Type & Sequence
TR29
Email Name
PSH
WHE
Media Type
D
Archive
No
Tags
DRMS Re-OCR
Description:
Signifies Re-OCR Process Performed
There are no annotations on this page.
Document management portal powered by Laserfiche WebLink 9 © 1998-2015
Laserfiche.
All rights reserved.
/
147
PDF
Print
Pages to print
Enter page numbers and/or page ranges separated by commas. For example, 1,3,5-12.
After downloading, print the document using a PDF reader (e.g. Adobe Reader).
View images
View plain text
SECT NFOUR Seismic Hazard Inputs <br /> regression relations previously discussed yields preferred characteristic magnitudes for the <br /> WFMF of M 6.8,7.0 and 7.0 for rupture scenarios A,B and C,respectively(Table 1). <br /> Olig et al. (2013) considered uncertainties for the rupture scenarios as epistemic, but this has <br /> been revised to be modeled as aleatory variability, which we believe more accurately reflects <br /> fault behavior. Hence, our rupture scenarios (A, B, and C) are not separate branches on a logic <br /> tree. All three rupture scenarios occur and rupture rates for each scenario represent the aleatory <br /> variability in rupture sources for the fault (e.g.,the fault ruptures only the northern section 70% <br /> of the time, the northern and central sections together 25% of the time, and the full northern, <br /> central and southern sections only 5%of the time). We have also included epistemic uncertainty <br /> in these relative frequency of rupture scenarios by having three rupture models(1, II,and III).. In <br /> all the models (Tables I and 2), rupture scenario A is judged to occur more frequently (50-80% <br /> of the time)based on the younger most-recent activity,wider associated basin,better geomorphic <br /> expression and apparent higher rate of activity for the northern section than for the middle <br /> section, and especially the southern section with its very poor geomorphic expression. In <br /> comparison, Rupture Scenarios B and C occur less frequently at 20-40%and 0-10%of the time, <br /> respectively. In Rupture Model 1, the southern section is assumed to be completely abandoned, <br /> with minimum activity on the central section,whereas in Rupture Model 11 the maximum rates of <br /> activity on the central and southern sections that were assigned were judged to still fit the <br /> paleoseismic observations. <br /> For all the rupture models, rates of activity were moment balanced to the overall fault slip rates <br /> and Table 2 shows the resulting section rates for each rupture model. Hence, the slip rates for <br /> each scenario (Table 2) produce a combined moment rate for the fault that is equal to the <br /> moment rate based on the overall fault slip rate applied to a single, full-fault rupture source. <br /> Overall fault slip rates were after Olig et al. (2013) and include a broad range from 0.0005 <br /> mm/yr to 0.61 mm/yr to encompass many uncertainties (such as in ages, dips, and geomorphic <br /> evidence of highly variable rates through time). The weighted mean of the overall fault slip rate <br /> distribution is 0.11 mm/yr (Table 1). Based on Kirkham's (2004) scarp profiles, Olig et al. <br /> (2013)estimated an average dip slip on Qa2 deposits along the fault of 5.32 m, with a range of <br /> 4.95 to 9.17 m. Estimating an age for this movement is much more uncertain; their maximum <br /> rate of 0.61 mm/yr assumes the maximum dip slip occurred since the end of Pinedale glaciation <br /> about 15 ka(i.e., 9.17 m/15 ky). The next three values in their distribution of 0.15, 0.041, and <br /> 0.011 mm/yr assume an average dip slip of 5.32 m occurred since the onset of Pinedale <br /> glaciation (about 35 ka), since the end of Bull Lake glaciation (about 130 ka), and since the <br /> middle Pleistocene (about 500 ka), respectively. These values are symmetrically weighted here <br /> (Table 1) and form a broad center for the distribution reflecting the many uncertainties. Finally, <br /> the minimum value of 0.0005 mm/yr assumes the minimum dip slip of 4.95 m occurred since 11 <br /> Ma,the upper age estimated for the Troublesome Formation (Kellogg et al., 2011). This branch <br /> essentially assumes the fault is entering a period of relative quiescence. <br /> Finally,we assumed rapture of both the northern and middle sections (Scenario B)of the WFMF <br /> for the scenario for the DSHA. This results in a length of 32 km and an expected M 6.8 (using <br /> the regression for all fault types of Wells and Coppersmith, 1994)to M 7.1 (using the censored <br /> relation of Stirling et al.'s, 2002). Based on this, we used a M 7.1 earthquake rupturing the <br /> northern and middle sections of the WFMF with a 50'dip in the DSHA. <br /> Em C27.MkR-1e1 14 <br />
The URL can be used to link to this page
Your browser does not support the video tag.