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<br />OOOH~ <br /> <br />reliability. <br /> <br />a. Based on currently available reliable <br />supplies, by the end of the decade there will be roughly <br />a fifty-fifty chance that some residential, commercial, <br />or industrial demands will have to be disrupted during <br />any given year, and a one-in-three chance that <br />significant shortages in excess of 200,000 AF will occur <br />absent actions to restore reliability to the system. By <br />the turn of the century, Southern California could face <br />a 10 percent chance each year of shortages exceeding <br />BOO,OOO AF. <br /> <br />b. This level of reliability is far <br /> <br /> <br />below the standards established, based on economic and <br /> <br /> <br />other criteria, in other infrastructUre industries, such <br /> <br /> <br />as electricity and natural gas. <br /> <br /> <br />c. Restoring adequate levels of <br /> <br /> <br />reliability in the water supply infrastructure must <br /> <br /> <br />become a top priority for water regulators, water <br /> <br /> <br />managers, and others involved in water policy formation <br /> <br /> <br />throughout the arrid west. <br /> <br />V. DROUGHT MANAGEMENT. <br />A. Supplv AUQIDentation. <br />To reduce impacts of the current drought, <br />Metropolitan, DWR, and other agencies have negotiated <br />and implemented several water transfer agreements. <br />1. Yuba Purchase. <br />a. During March, DWR, with the <br /> <br />L. ... <br /> <br />-10- <br />