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<br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Ofl3""? <br />v U - - <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />assumed conditions in 1995, and two scenarios were with assumed conditions <br /> <br /> <br />in 2035. These five scenarios were selected to provide meaningful compari- <br /> <br /> <br />sons between both demand levels and different supply sources. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />The average annual demand for treated water in Fort Collins is presently <br /> <br /> <br />around 19,000 ac-ft per year. Model simulations showed that the safe <br /> <br /> <br />average demands that could be met with the City's existing water supply, <br /> <br />with no new water added, ranged from 32,400 ac-ft for the l-in-20 drought <br /> <br /> <br />to 22,200 ac-ft for the \-in-500 drought. It was concluded that the <br /> <br /> <br />existing water supply is capable of withstanding extreme droughts, and with <br /> <br /> <br />the current acquisition policy of requiring developers to provide water, <br /> <br /> <br />will probably be adequate until the turn of the century. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Three basic concepts were identified in developing a long-term water <br /> <br /> <br />supply strategy for the City of Fort Collins: <br /> <br />1. <br /> <br />Drought design criteria should be established for use in sizing <br />the water supply system. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />2. <br /> <br />Long-range plans should be developed to meet increased demands <br /> <br /> <br />for water while maintaining an adequate safety margin for most <br /> <br />droughts. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />3. <br /> <br />Emergency plans should be developed that can be implemented in <br /> <br />the event of very extreme droughts or failures to water system <br /> <br /> <br />components. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />The overriding conclusion resulting from the drought study is that the <br /> <br /> <br />City's water supply network is sufficiently sized to withstand relatively <br /> <br /> <br />severe droughts and should remain that.way for several years. When severe <br /> <br /> <br />droughts do occur, the critical year or years normally occur toward the end <br /> <br />of the dry period. With the existing supply system and with present <br /> <br /> <br />acquisition policies, the development of emergency plans is not urgent; <br /> <br />however, it would be desirable to undertake them in the near future. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Recommendations resulting from the study are as follows: <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />1. Fort Collins should determine its optimum drought design criteria <br /> <br /> <br />based on an economic evaluation and other factors. A preliminary <br /> <br /> <br />conclusion is that the Fort Collins water supply should be <br /> <br />maintained to meet the demands for a l-in-lOO drought. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />ii <br />