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<br />. <br /> <br />5 <br /> <br />:~~+!5;~{ <br />f\::.<~>. <br />';"',:.-:':"-; <br />, .; "-. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />~.~.-t: r>~ <br /> <br />~~I <br /> <br />I ~,"" ..~ .," I <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />:~. "-:",,:.".~. :';..; <br /> <br />~Zt~'(1 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />;~ <br /> <br /> <br />/,,::::":/,;.::". <br />",-.;,' <br />, .....-. <br />.:;....... <br />>\:\:.1 <br />..."..... <br /> <br />O;J2.3r;1 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />pollution load, and the conservative pollution load. The basic <br />objectives of the study, he said, have been met. The models, as <br />now conceived, do satisfactorily reproduce the hydrologic response <br />in the river systems. The nonconservative model acc'ounts for the <br />growth and decay of the biochemical oxygen demands throughout the <br />system. The conservative model provides results cOI1)parable with <br />field observation. The models can be used effectively to consider <br />problems of defining the nature and scope of the desired basic data <br />programs, of evaluating the degree of treatment needed to fulfill a <br />given water quality standard, evaluation of potential effect of both <br />quality and quantity of upstream diversions and other water develop- <br />ment programs and a determination of the reservoir operation program <br />which will best minimize the concentration of conservative pollutants. <br /> <br />" <br /> <br />Design of U. S. Department of Agriculture's Analytical Model Used for <br />Economic Analysis of Soil and Water Resources <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Mr. John Putman, Agricultural Economist of the Natural Resources <br />Economics Division of the Department of Agriculture,discussed the <br />Missouri Basin Economic Model. He advised the Committee the Economic <br />Research Service was responsible, in the Missouri River Basin Framework <br />Study, for an inventory and analysis of the agricultural economy, an <br />inventory of the agricultural resource base for agriculture production, <br />and projections of agricultural production at levels consistent with <br />projected levels of national economic activity. <br /> <br />.. <br /> <br />In order to accomplish these aims, a generalized analytical system <br />has been developed by the Economic Research Service. It was necessary <br />to computerize the system because of the complexities, the economic <br />and physical factors, and the many data elements involved. On the <br />input side is a program which is essentially a bookkeeping system to <br />make simple budget computations, arrange data, and store it in a manner <br />readily adaptable to linear programming. This linear programming model <br />based on minimum cost concepts is used for simulating mathematically <br />farmers I decisions wi th respect to land use when certain levels of <br />demand for food and fiber are assumed. In the operation of the math- <br />ematical model, the cropping pattern is selected that will minimize <br />the cost to achieve this level of production within the restraints <br />likely to confront farmers. <br /> <br />The information derived by this system has many applications <br />other than Type I river basin surveys. It can serve Type II or Type IV <br />or other surveys; it can be used to measure the capacity of the agri- <br />culture resources within designated framc,vorks of assumption and <br />finally it can evaluate the implications of alternative courses of <br />action available to agriculture. <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />,.1 <br /> <br />