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o (:;J .... (~ ) N N Arkansas Colorado Kansas Louisiana Missouri New Mexico Oklahoma Texas 10,0 percent 14.7 0.8 4.1 1.8 12.7 6,0 9.3 By national, geographic regions, the percentage growtli rate of residential population during the five year period froI1l April 1, 1970 to July 1, 1975, was as follows: Northeastern States North-central States The South The West 0.,8 percent 1.9 8.4. 8.7 The average of three methods or formulas used to estimate population between decelIDial censuses were utilized to derive the foregoing data. (Note: The three methods are the "component method", used to estimate natural increase and state-to-state migration; the "ratio correlation method", used to estimate percentage change in population distribution among the, states; and the "administrative records method", used to estimate interstate and international population migrations. ) , These massive population shift trends obviously will have. important implications politicallYland for the national economy. However, it has very great impacts on the contiguous eight states listed above. Therefore, the staff believes that a detailed analysis is needed as to why these trends are developing and their implications on Texas and on the contiguous states. The socioeconomic projections' 'and ,characteristics presented in the captioned Assessment Elhould indicate how they interface with and relate to the accelerating population shift tre~ds described above. In short, the staff believes that the socioeconomic impacts on the Texas portion of the A WR Region will be sub!<tantlnlly greater than indicated in, the captioned draft document and that the net result is an aggravation of the problems listed in the Problem Characterization Worksheets (Pages 85 - 90). -1,1Q~ ~ . ,,. I I I I I I I. I I I I I I I I I 1 I