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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />41 <br /> <br />ENERGY SOURCES <br />AND <br />FOSSIL FUEL INFORMATION <br /> <br />The adequacy of bulk power supply has always depended upon an <br />assured supply of primary energy. In the past, increasing thermal energy <br />requirements for electric generation were met by the availability and <br />relatively unhindered development of gas, oil, and coal resources, and the <br />energy industry's prDduction capability which assured an adequate supply <br />for all sectors of the energy market. For a number Df reaSDns, this <br />favorable situation no longer exists and it has become important that the <br />electric utility industry provide estimates of its future primary energy <br />requirements. Such estimates are needed to establish the total <br />requirements for coal, Dil and gas tD facilitate regional and national <br />planning. This section Df the report summarizes infDrmation on actual and <br />estimated energy sources, thermal energy production, and fossil fuel <br />requirements as submitted by the DrganizatiDns within the WSCC region. <br /> <br />Table 29 summarizes the prDjected energy lDad for the WSCC <br />region. Table 7 in the "Loads and Resources" section provides the same <br />information for the total WSCC region and fDr each of the four major areas <br />within WSCC. Tables 30 through 38 show actual 1982 and projected <br />1983-1992 sources of thermal energy production and fossil fuel <br />requirements for the total WSCC region and for each Df the four majDr <br />areas. <br /> <br />Figure 10 illustrates the types of energy sources which will <br />serve the projected electric load of the WSCC region. During the next ten <br />years, an increasing percentage of the load is projected to be served by <br />coal, nuclear and geDthermal sources. The tabulated percentages in the <br />follDwing table allow a direct comparison of the relative shift in the <br />generation mix under median hydro conditions over the ten-year period. <br /> <br />WSCC TOTAL REGION <br />SOURCES OF ELECTRIC ENERGY GENERATION - PERCENT <br />MEDIAN HYDRO CONDITIONS <br /> <br />Source 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1992 <br />HydrD 44 44 41 40 38 38 <br />Coal 29 28 30 32 33 34 <br />Oil 2 3 3 2 2 2 <br />Gas 16 11 9 7 7 6 <br />Nuclear 6 11 13 13 13 13 <br />Geothermal 2 2 2 3 3 3 <br /> <br />Figure 11 graphically portrays the estimated quantities of oil, <br />gas, and coal required to satisfy prDjected electric generation <br />requirements. The figure indicates that cDal requirements will increase <br />by 52 percent during the next ten years as the need for coal is projected <br />to increase frDm 86 milliDn tDns in 1982 to 131 million tDns in 1992. <br />Oil consumption is projected tD remain relatively constant throughout the <br />