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<br />o Illl ~ ~ 5 <br /> <br />The DWD's use of the DRCOG figures projects a six county metropolitan <br />area population by the year 2000 of 2,461,000 which compares favorably with <br />the Front Range estimate which is derived from the Colorado Division of <br />Planning's estimates. Translating those population projections into <br />probable water service demands results in the graph appearing on Figure 1. <br /> <br />That Figure graphically contrasts the water service demands for <br />different service concepts with'the presently available firm annual water <br />supply of the Denver system (dashed blue line - 295,000 acre feet per <br />year) . <br /> <br />The blue dashed curve represents the water service demand projection <br />expected to occur only within the City and County of Denver. <br /> <br />The solid black curve represents a water service demand projection <br />which can be expected from a continuation of the Board's present service <br />area and tap limitation policy; with a continuation of current tap demand <br />trends, it projects an average of only 4,200 new taps a year regardless of <br />how large a population increase occurs in the metropolitan area. <br /> <br />The green curve represents the water service demand projection likely <br />to require service from the Denver system as a result of the generally <br />accepted anticipated population growth projections within the entire <br />metropolitan area without any artificial limitation on availability of <br />taps or water service through them. <br /> <br />The red curve represents the water service demand projection for the <br />same population as the green curve without any limitation on the availa- <br />bility of taps, but with the availability of water service through them <br />limited to the amounts necessary to attain the demand reduction goals <br />described in the Foothills Settlement documents. The question implicit in <br />this factual presentation is to what degree should sound water system <br />planning assume that those goals will in fact occur within the time frames <br />set forth in those documents. The question is not whether diligent efforts <br />will be made to achieve those goals, but whether, to what degree and when <br />such efforts may be successful. <br /> <br />The graph appearing on Figure 2 illustrates the gravity of the future <br />metropolitan area water supply problems. As in Figure 1, the green bar <br />graph represents the water service demand projection 1 ike 1y to require <br />service from the Denver system, while the black bar graph represents the <br />level of water service projected to result from the continuation of the <br />Board's present service area and tap limitation policy. The solid blue <br />horizontal line represents the firm water supply of 295,000 acre feet per <br />year now available from the Denver system. <br /> <br />The portion of the black bar graph an Figure 2 which is above the blue <br />line graphically depicts the timing and magnitude of the water service <br /> <br />-3- <br />