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<br /> 1.7"5'(, <br /><1>- 0 <br />ll.,! -100 <br />~O> <br /><I>E <br />>~ <br />...:... -200 <br />,S"2 <br /><I>~ -300 <br />0>'" <br />c'" <br />"'~ -400 <br />.c:<I> <br />u16 <br />i=? -500 <br />1;;" <br />_c -$)0 <br />n <br />Uie) -700 <br /> g ~ ~ ~ <br /> ~ <br /> <br /> <br />! ~ ~ ! ! ! ~ ~ <br /> <br />Year <br /> <br />_ . _ " - 25% Decrease in pump!ng <br />- - 50% Decrease in pumpi'1g <br />100% Decrease In pumping <br /> <br />Figure 11. Simulated change in ground water salinity for scenarios of <br />decreased pumpage, relath'e to baseline conditions. <br /> <br /><1>- 0 <br />S'~ -100 <br />~O> <br />>~ <br /><~ -200 <br />.:"2 <br />lD~ -300 <br />g>", <br />"'~ -400 <br />.c:C> <br />U"iii <br />,,;;:: -500 <br />c>. <br />10" <br />_c -$)0 <br />"" <br />EI< <br />Uie) -700 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />Ie i:: ~"'! ~ <br />~ ~ ~ ~ <br /> <br />1i! ~ ~ <br />- ~ ~ <br /> <br />~ ~ <br /> <br />ill ~ <br />~ m <br /> <br />Year <br /> <br />- Cessamn of Irrigation-Area 1 <br />- . - . - Cessation of Irrigation-Area 2 <br />_ Ceo..."", ot lniga';on-""'a 3 <br />Cessation of Irrigation-All Areas <br /> <br />Figure 12. Simulated change in ground water salinit)' for scenarios of <br />decreased irrigated acreage, relative to baseline conditions. <br /> <br />through time (Figure 11). The variabillty is a function of the rela- <br />tive proportion of ground water to surface water that was histori- <br />cally applied for inigation. In the relatively dry years of 1971-82, <br />surface water diversions were relatively small (0.6 m1yr), and irr;. <br />gation from ground water (0.6 m1yr) represented 50% of the total <br />applied water. In the relatively wet years of 1983-95 when surface <br />water was more plentiful (0,8 m1yr), ground water represented <br />about 33% (0.4 m1yr) of the total applied water. Therefore, a fixed <br />percentage decrease in withdrawals had a slightly more pronounced <br />effect on salinity in the drier period, 1971-82 (Figure II). Decreased <br />pumping had a minimal effect on river salinity; in the three decreased <br />pumping scenarios, salinity in the river essentially remained <br />unchanged (Table 2). <br />As expected. streamflow gains generally increased in response <br />to decreased ground water withdrawals. The complete cessation of <br />pumping increased the gains from 0.18 mJls to 0.20 mJls (Table 2). <br />Simulated ground water levels relative to the baseline simulations, <br />however, were relatively insensitive to changes in pumping. <br /> <br />Decreased Irrigated Acreage <br />Water transfers between agricultural and urban users in arid to <br />semiarid regions of the United States are being used increasingly <br />because of competition for scarce water resources. During the <br />1987-93 drought, for example, I billion m' of water w" tran,ferred <br />between different entities with the California water banking system <br />(Bouwer 1994). However, the impacts of these transfers on the qual- <br />ity of surface and ground water remains largely unknown. <br />In response to increased demands for municipal water supplies <br />in Colorado, agricultural water rights have been sold and transferred <br />for municipal use along the Colorado Front Range. As of 1990, about <br />19,440 hectares of historically irrigated land in the lower Arkansas <br />River vaUey has ceased to be irrigated following the transfer of water <br />rights (Howe et a1. 1990). In accordance with the legal stipulations <br />of these transfers, it was mandated that these historically inigated <br />lands could no longer be inigated. Therefore, the calibrated model <br />W'a5 u'!.ed to estimate \he effects of decreased irrigaled acreage in me. <br />study area. <br />Four scenarios in the management category of inigation ces- <br />sation were simulated: (I to 3) individually ceasing irrigation on sub- <br />areas \,2, and 3; and (4) ceasing irrigation on all three sub-areas. <br /> <br /> Table 3 <br /> Model Results for Scenarios of Decreased Irrigate-d Acreage <br /> AUuvial Aquifer Arkansas River <br /> Average Monthly Average Monthly Water Average .l\-lonthJy Average Monthly <br />Model Run Sa6nity (mg/L) Level (m above mean sea level) Salinity (mg/L) Srnaml10w Gains (m'/s) <br />Base Condition 2180 t224.42 1810 0.176 <br /> Study Area-Wide Decreases in Irrigated Acreage <br />Area 1 (20% of <br />irrigated study area) 2080 (-4.6%)' 1224.42 1810 (0.0%) 0.162(-79%) <br />Ma 2 (33% of <br />irrigated study area) 201O( -7.8%) 1224.42 1780(-1.7%) 0.151 (- 14%) <br />Area 3 (47% of <br />irrigated srudy area) 1960(-10%) 1224.]] 1780 (-1.7%) 0.087(-51%) <br />Areas I. 2, and 3 (100% of <br />irrigated study area) 1630(-25%) 1224.33 1730 (-4.4%) 0.064 (- 64%) <br />lNumbers in parentheses indicate the percent difference be[ween the modded base condillon and the indicated scenario. <br /> <br />83 <br />