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00238r! production of the forecasts as shown on Table 1, Denver Regiop.al Council of Governments modified the study shown as Case 1 to reflect the annual migration level during the period 1970 to 1980 to a level similar to that pre sently ace urring J ca lled I1current level ". With that modification, a prediction of a population by the year 2000 of 2. 35 million resulted. Plan policies related to that prediction were adopted by the Denver Regional Council of Governments on January 17, 1973, and are included in Table No.2. In the opening testimony of December 5, 1973, on the Council's consideration of land use, public transportation and highway plans, Mr. Robert D. Farley, Executive Director, Denver Regional Council of Governments, stated: IIThese plans are among the most dramatic of any regional plans ever prepared for a major U. S. urban area. Taken together, the policies and plans called for a massive reversal of the idea that growth for growth's sake is good. The plans specifically urges the controlling growth". This projection of a population under 2.35 million by the year 2000 contains a very major assumption that growth in the Denver Metropolitan area will be controlled. Although the devices to accomplish this objective are yet to be developed, it would appear that the objective is a meritorious one; how- ever, it must be kept in mind that, based upon today' s projections into the future, a population of the metropolitan area will be limited to Under 2.35 million only if future growth is controlled and does not continue at the present level. Other agencies within the State of Colorado devote efforts to population pro- jections and are considered to be knowledgeable in that field. One of those agencies is the Colorado Division of Planning. That division developed population projections of the Denver SMSA from information obtained from Cbunty Commissioners and Mayors of Colorado cities and towns. That in- formation was obtained through questionnaires sent on December 1, 1973, and resulted in projections by the Colorado Division of Planning of 2.9 to 3.4 million people in the Denver SMSA by the year 2000. Another study was accomplished in cooperation with the Colorado Division of Planning by the Business Research Division of the University of Colorado under an urban planning grant from the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This study utilized first a simulation model which projected total state pop- ulation and employment for the years 1975 and 1980, and a second method utilizing a cohort-survival technique to yield county population projections for those years using the simulation totals as a control. The study of the Business Research Division produced a projection of population for the year 1980 of 1.8 million people. This projection is compared with the other pro- jections of the State of Colorado, Division of Planning and the Denver Regional Council of Governments on Table 3. ";- ';~.:;>::'-~ ,- ;:;- --:-::.- '~_:-:" >/\: '..~ . '"p - ". -". ~- .". ....-;..: / -6- {:~;~:-:t;" ..:.:...~;.' ". ".;' .. '-.- .. r... .>. .' ..;" ?~,... " . .".,"..;- ,: '-".". ',' . ~... -.. }!;i~'"~~t~;?~;, ;,>d:";:;::~Y':' \'f~;~;;;t:;. :""::i:':~F':~('~JF~"':;':F.~'~:1:~:j~;::::;"':;';1i~;~Ef:'~", '~,t,':}2,~ti~f;:t~\1~'!l;i{SZ~~(tf;,tj;~~':r'i~~;~?:~~fM~:::.':':'/'~ < ..-~--".