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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />',\ ~.~ r::~ J <br />U-:")'. J u '1 <br /> <br />B. PURPOSE OF TASK ELEMENTS <br /> <br />As stated above, the main purpose of the B-2 work was to provide the <br />commodity prices for the state A-I analysis, and to analyze how these pric- <br />es woul d change as produc tion changes in the Hi gh Pl ains under basel ine (or <br />no additional public action) and various management strategy situations. <br />Because price is largely established by supply and demand factors, this <br />element must make projections of future supplies and demands for agricul- <br />tural commodities and estimate how these would change due to the management <br />strategies. Impl icit in the supply and demand projections are underlying <br />projections or estimates which are of national concern. Examples of these <br />are consumer effects such as the changes in inflation and in consumer <br />expenditures for food and fiber, the changes in the bal ance of payments due <br />to price and export level changes, and the interregional shifts in agricul- <br />tural production and their impl ications for the quantity of national pro- <br />duction. Projections or estimates of these factors will provide decision <br />makers a measure of the national importance of changes in agricultural pro- <br />duction in the High Pl ains region. <br /> <br />1-2 <br />