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<br />I <br />. <br />I <br />. <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />'. <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />1623 <br /> <br />TABLE 7 <br />PROJECTIONS OF POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLDS <br />LOW SERIES (SLOW GROWTH) AND HIGH SERIES (RAPID GROWTH) <br />El Paso County <br />1980-2000 <br /> <br />Population <br />Population in <br />group quarters <br />Population in <br />households <br />Number of <br />households <br />Household size <br />Change in number <br />of households <br />from 1980 <br /> <br />1980 <br />333,100 <br />19,880 <br />313,220 <br />107,770 <br />2.91 <br /> <br />LOW SERIES HIGH SERIES <br />1985 2000 1985 2000 <br />366,400 476,000 400,000 620,000 <br />20,400 22,800 21,100 25,900 <br />346,000 453,200 378,900 594,100 <br />125,800 177,700 136,800 227,600 <br />2.75 2.55 2.77 2.61 <br />18,030 69,930 29,030 119,830 <br /> <br />Numbers are subject to revision upon receipt of detailed 1980 Census data. <br /> <br />Group Quarters: Included institutions such as boarding houses, nursing homes, <br />boarding schools, residential hotels with common eating <br />areas, etc. <br /> <br />Source: Pikes Peak Area Council of Governments, Housing Market Analysis, 1980. <br /> <br />in the local labor force, will average <br />1,900 jobs per year which will be filled by <br />new people coming into the community. <br /> <br />Retirement-related migration is assumed <br />to have a continued impact on population <br />change using both alternative forecasts. <br />Most of the past retirement-related <br />migration hos been attributable to retired <br />military personnel who have been <br />attracted to the area for a variety of <br />reasons, including mi Iitary heolth core, <br />commissary privileges, etc., available at <br />the major mil itary installations in the <br />area. This trend is expected to continue <br />in varying degrees. <br /> <br />MILlT ARY CHANGE <br /> <br />The methodology used in <br />considers the civilian <br />populations separately. <br /> <br />these forecasts <br />and military <br />Under the <br /> <br />alternatives the distribution of the <br />military population is assumed to shift <br />slightly toward the older age groups as a <br />result of the rece~t move toward an all- <br />volunteer military. In addition, military <br />fam i I y si ze is expected to increase <br />slightly for the same reason. At the <br />present time, the total military <br />population, which includes in-service <br />personnel and their dependents, makes up <br />about 25% of total County population. <br />This is expected to decline to 15% by the <br />Year 2000 in the slow growth forecast, <br />further declining to 10% in the rapid <br />growth alternative. This is primarily due <br />to this segment of the population <br />becoming 0 smaller proportion of an <br />increasing population base. As the <br />expansion of Fort Carson has not yet been <br />approved nor is the extent of expansion <br />finalized, neither alternotive takes this <br />expansion into account. <br /> <br />24 <br />